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Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
$137K volumeYes 8.0¢No 92¢
Sharp lean: 30% Yes70% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
8.0¢- 1HerrieDavisSharp$386
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Sharp$256
- 3M4Play$162
- 4
LocalHunterSharp$65 - 5mumps$63
- 6
LornaPredicts$53 - 7BikesAreTheBikes$46
- 8tradetosurvive1$35
- 9
Haradwaith$32 - 10bumaibao$27
- 11Geromi$12
- 12FFFFFFFF9$12
- 13
718305$11 - 14AJSV$7
- 15AiBird$6
- 160xdF4D7E570fF2F3b26bF8eBf7751C7f87610EaE18-1774650587057$6
- 17WanderingImpulse$5
- 18thecaricature$4
- 19sirjhow01$4
- 20tinman2$4
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
92¢- 1nonkenny90$4.7K
- 2QMG-CORE$2.8K
- 3
ArmageddonRewardsBillySharp$1.4K - 4Jjw$1.0K
- 5
EsperanzasDESTROYER$717 - 6D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935$552
- 7coshi$460
- 8
Dapsy$331 - 9
AnjunSharp$306 - 10InterestingUser$260
- 11Flaky-Ring$196
- 120xe873…cb60$165
- 13
MrMelonHead$124 - 14Elias.Thornwell$120
- 15bossi9000$116
- 16rocky42013$108
- 17SmartBoyBilly$86
- 18Mahnic$59
- 19Teepeebull$51
- 200x3F4126AF1280DdB22024332b4462AB75Ee4289Cc-1761313159008$47
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $3,812 out of No @ 93¢InterestingUser1d ago
- $1,327 out of No @ 93¢hfv3d ago
- $1,055 out of Yes @ 13¢M4Play4d ago
- $1,085 out of Yes @ 73¢M4Play5d ago
- $9,517 on No @ 90¢InterestingUser1mo ago
- $1,899 out of No @ 85¢hfncj1mo ago
- $1,223 out of No @ 94¢LocalHunter1mo ago
- $7,520 on No @ 80¢LocalHunter1mo ago