← Whale Watch

QMG-CORE

Predicting since Mar 20242,036 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $36K on Politics markets since Mar 2024.

Right now: $143K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$75K99¢99¢-$11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$55K99¢100¢+$147
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$15K99¢100¢+$109
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$19K72¢57¢-$3.7K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$14K96¢96¢-$6
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13K88¢92¢+$542
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$13K87¢94¢+$966
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$13K98¢99¢+$10
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$11K62¢69¢+$1.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$11K82¢81¢-$126
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$9.1K91¢93¢+$190
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$9.0K90¢90¢+$6
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$8.2K96¢99¢+$226
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.9K90¢92¢+$103
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.0K99¢100¢+$28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$5.3K89¢91¢+$115
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.1K97¢99¢+$141
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? TechNo$5.1K98¢99¢+$101
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K97¢97¢-$12
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechNo$4.4K94¢99¢+$213
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.6K99¢99¢+$23
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceNo$4.3K96¢99¢+$131
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$4.4K97¢99¢+$60
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$3.9K97¢99¢+$66
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$3.9K99¢99¢+$37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$1.9K48¢91¢+$1.7K
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.5K99¢100¢+$34
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.5K99¢100¢+$19
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$4.4K53¢40¢-$1.1K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$3.0K85¢88¢+$104
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.0K99¢100¢+$27
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?TechNo$2.8K88¢92¢+$106
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.8K93¢95¢+$57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K89¢92¢+$75
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K93¢94¢+$28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K88¢86¢-$65
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K96¢96¢+$1
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.5K98¢100¢+$35
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K90¢92¢+$38
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.2K84¢88¢+$94
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?TechNo$2.1K96¢99¢+$55
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K95¢97¢+$41
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.9K98¢99¢+$15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.7K98¢98¢+$1
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K81¢84¢+$50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.0K23¢18¢-$406
Macron out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K99¢100¢+$10
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$1.4K90¢96¢+$83
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K99¢100¢+$7
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K91¢93¢+$17
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?CultureNo$99887¢90¢+$37
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$98594¢97¢+$33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$98899¢99¢+$6
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$96096¢97¢+$12
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?TechNo$93898¢99¢+$12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$82582¢94¢+$115
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$93093¢94¢+$5
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$95095¢93¢-$25
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$91599¢99¢+$3
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?CryptoNo$73073¢89¢+$155
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$69290¢96¢+$49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by July 31?FinanceNo$66699¢100¢+$4
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$64291¢93¢+$11
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?FinanceNo$62696¢99¢+$19
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?TechNo$56372¢76¢+$23
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?CryptoNo$54990¢96¢+$37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?FinanceNo$55998¢98¢-$1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$54496¢96¢-$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsNo$47294¢97¢+$12
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$47795¢97¢+$7
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?CultureNo$47797¢98¢+$4
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsNo$43188¢95¢+$35
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?TechNo$46193¢94¢+$2
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$46593¢90¢-$15
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$42690¢92¢+$9
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?PoliticsNo$45090¢84¢-$32
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechNo$46092¢80¢-$60
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoNo$8321¢92¢+$286
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?CryptoYes$37639¢35¢-$43
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyYes$45123¢16¢-$143
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$27390¢100¢+$28
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$25096¢92¢-$10
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?TechNo$23296¢99¢+$8
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechNo$22011¢12¢+$10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$28319¢14¢-$80
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?PoliticsNo$19499¢100¢+$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1453.6¢4.9¢+$49
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$13762¢71¢+$20
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$1365.5¢5.1¢-$10
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?EconomyNo$11393¢92¢-$1
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?EconomyNo$10797¢100¢+$3
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsNo$10188¢93¢+$6
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by July 31?FinanceNo$9696¢100¢+$4
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechNo$9389¢91¢+$2
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by July 31?FinanceNo$9198¢96¢-$2
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?EconomyNo$7294¢100¢+$5
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?TechNo$6091¢95¢+$2
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?CultureNo$5289¢89¢-$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1004.5¢1.6¢-$66
ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyNo$3287¢88¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$36K
Economy+$11K
Crypto+$8.0K
Tech+$6.7K
Culture+$4.3K
Formula 1-$2.3K
Finance+$1.9K
Tennis+$1.4K
UFC / MMA+$962
NFL-$899
Mentions+$223
Weather-$186
Biggest hit
+$2.6K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$4.5K
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · JD Vance out as VP by July 31?$565h ago
  • Sold No · Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$485h ago
  • Sold No · JD Vance out as VP by July 31?$537h ago
  • Sold No · Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$497h ago
  • Sold No · JD Vance out as VP by July 31?$538h ago
  • Sold No · Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$2112h ago
  • Sold No · Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$18513h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.0K16h ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$117h ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$517h ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$517h ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$517h ago