Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $75K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$11 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $55K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$147 |
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $15K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$109 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19K | 72¢ | 57¢ | -$3.7K |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $14K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$6 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$542 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $13K | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$966 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $11K | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$1.2K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $11K | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$126 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $9.1K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$190 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $9.0K | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $8.2K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$226 |
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5.9K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$103 |
Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | No | $6.0K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $5.3K | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$115 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $5.1K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$141 |
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $5.1K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$101 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.8K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$12 |
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Tech | No | $4.4K | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$213 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | No | $4.6K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $4.3K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$131 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $4.4K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$60 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3.9K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$66 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $3.9K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$37 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $1.9K | 48¢ | 91¢ | +$1.7K |
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$34 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $4.4K | 53¢ | 40¢ | -$1.1K |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $3.0K | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$104 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.0K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $2.8K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$106 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $2.8K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$57 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$75 |
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | No | $2.6K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$28 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $2.6K | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$65 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Politics | No | $2.5K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.3K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$38 |
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$94 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $2.1K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$55 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$41 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.9K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.7K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$50 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$406 |
Macron out by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $1.4K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$83 |
Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture | No | $998 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$37 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $985 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$33 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $988 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $960 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?Tech | No | $938 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $825 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$115 |
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $930 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $950 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$25 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $915 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $730 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$155 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $692 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$49 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by July 31?Finance | No | $666 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $642 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?Finance | No | $626 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$19 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Tech | No | $563 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$23 |
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Crypto | No | $549 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$37 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?Finance | No | $559 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $544 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $472 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $477 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?Culture | No | $477 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | No | $431 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$35 |
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $461 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $465 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$15 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $426 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Politics | No | $450 | 90¢ | 84¢ | -$32 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $460 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$60 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $83 | 21¢ | 92¢ | +$286 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $376 | 39¢ | 35¢ | -$43 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | Yes | $451 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$143 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $273 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $250 | 96¢ | 92¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Tech | No | $232 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $220 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$10 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $283 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$80 |
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?Politics | No | $194 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $145 | 3.6¢ | 4.9¢ | +$49 |
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?Culture | No | $137 | 62¢ | 71¢ | +$20 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?Politics | Yes | $136 | 5.5¢ | 5.1¢ | -$10 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $113 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?Economy | No | $107 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Politics | No | $101 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by July 31?Finance | No | $96 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Tech | No | $93 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by July 31?Finance | No | $91 | 98¢ | 96¢ | -$2 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Economy | No | $72 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $52 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 4.5¢ | 1.6¢ | -$66 |
ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | No | $32 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |