← Belugo Whale Watch

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
$405K volumeYes 5.1¢No 95¢
Sharp lean: 54% Yes46% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
5.1¢- 1
LlamaLoco0000Sharp$6.3K - 20x154506893D8Ea9BcdF2A875a7A6CFe810e173599-1771680135006$2.0K
- 3ddw2222$462
- 4PauliusKuncinas$295
- 5B1B2$176
- 6Pivko$174
- 7pollium$160
- 80x3783d304429894664c0661797bfbC7A679fEF624-1734660003294$128
- 9
QuantZVision$111 - 10FC26$92
- 11jacoboliver$87
- 120x1856747d92A55Ffe5F8294f1916Ae514E509506e-1775667332108$84
- 130xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Sharp$84
- 14KKCY3218$79
- 15Perypery$44
- 16
0xC204aCeeF6E508753d0495E94a30DE8418517927-1774255459293$34 - 170x695f…7616$33
- 18
Dr.PNL$27 - 19
ManAreBrave$17 - 20AJSV$16
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
95¢- 1aannggg$46K
- 2
budu100$33K - 3
Aq4ExePrd22Jn$17K - 4
J3cExePrd1KEM$16K - 5QMG-CORE$12K
- 6
OiOiOiCxxtCxxtCxxt$12K - 7ElectricSamurai$10K
- 8
fqy2026$9.5K - 9
hgamezoon$7.6K - 10
esports095Sharp$5.5K - 11jay231$4.5K
- 120x124e…a8a9$2.9K
- 13atai$2.1K
- 14
Talophex$2.0K - 15
FXC$1.1K - 16enrico-vasaio$1.0K
- 17Elias.Thornwell$943
- 180xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221$759
- 19raymond2027$726
- 20kaiselin$719
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,430 on Yes @ 6.3¢0x154506893D8Ea9BcdF2A875a7A6CFe810e173599-177168013500653m ago
- $1,152 out of No @ 94¢
fqy20261mo ago - $2,271 on No @ 94¢aannggg1mo ago
- $42,155 on No @ 93¢aannggg1mo ago
- $2,519 on No @ 93¢LIBAI1mo ago
- $1,019 out of No @ 94¢HughJackman1mo ago
- $2,591 on No @ 92¢QMG-CORE2mo ago
- $3,696 on No @ 92¢QMG-CORE2mo ago
- $2,772 on No @ 92¢QMG-CORE2mo ago
- $1,569 on No @ 92¢QMG-CORE2mo ago
- $10,138 on No @ 92¢ElectricSamurai2mo ago
- $3,227 on No @ 92¢
budu1002mo ago - $18,440 on No @ 92¢
budu1002mo ago - $1,426 on No @ 94¢
J3cExePrd1KEM3mo ago - $1,103 on Yes @ 6.4¢0x154506893D8Ea9BcdF2A875a7A6CFe810e173599-17716801350063mo ago
- $1,314 on No @ 94¢
budu1003mo ago - $5,000 on No @ 95¢jay2313mo ago
- $1,800 on No @ 93¢
Aq4ExePrd22Jn3mo ago - $1,700 on No @ 94¢
Aq4ExePrd22Jn4mo ago