Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $3.3K | 50¢ | 98¢ | +$3.2K |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $1.2K | 60¢ | 82¢ | +$430 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 60¢ | 91¢ | +$152 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $82 | 3.3¢ | 18¢ | +$355 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $235 | 47¢ | 76¢ | +$143 |
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $86 | 2.9¢ | 11¢ | +$234 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $57 | 2.1¢ | 8.5¢ | +$171 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $91 | 8.8¢ | 22¢ | +$136 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $234 | 7.1¢ | 6.5¢ | -$20 |
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Culture | No | $34 | 2.8¢ | 18¢ | +$179 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $150 | 6.4¢ | 8.5¢ | +$50 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $143 | 41¢ | 55¢ | +$47 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $68 | 6.7¢ | 18¢ | +$115 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $19 | 5.0¢ | 46¢ | +$156 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $200 | 7.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$27 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $124 | 4.3¢ | 5.5¢ | +$35 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 4.2¢ | 6.5¢ | +$54 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 50¢ | 1.9¢ | -$3.2K |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $113 | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$11 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | Yes | $29 | 2.9¢ | 12¢ | +$86 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$38 |
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 2.0¢ | 62¢ | +$102 |
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 21¢ | +$98 |
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | Yes | $79 | 4.3¢ | 5.5¢ | +$21 |
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?Politics | Yes | $105 | 4.8¢ | 4.5¢ | -$7 |
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Politics | No | $202 | 7.9¢ | 3.3¢ | -$119 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $61 | 8.0¢ | 11¢ | +$19 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $195 | 9.0¢ | 3.6¢ | -$116 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics | Yes | $51 | 5.4¢ | 8.0¢ | +$25 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | Yes | $52 | 5.6¢ | 8.0¢ | +$22 |
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 5.5¢ | 5.9¢ | +$4 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $70 | 4.7¢ | 4.9¢ | +$3 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.3¢ | 1.9¢ | +$57 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 1.3¢ | 7.1¢ | +$49 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $21 | 3.2¢ | 8.9¢ | +$37 |
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | No | $93 | 5.3¢ | 3.3¢ | -$35 |
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-01 House Election?Politics | No | $2 | 1.0¢ | 26¢ | +$55 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 4.3¢ | 7.5¢ | +$24 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 9.0¢ | 12¢ | +$11 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | No | $19 | 3.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$31 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $29 | 5.7¢ | 9.5¢ | +$19 |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.7¢ | 1.6¢ | +$25 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.4¢ | 14¢ | +$41 |
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Politics | Yes | $67 | 4.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$24 |
Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 11?Weather | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 47¢ | +$42 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 10¢ | 15¢ | +$14 |
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 1.0¢ | 15¢ | +$38 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 2.2¢ | 3.5¢ | +$14 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 2.9¢ | 1.9¢ | -$18 |
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 0.4¢ | 0.9¢ | +$19 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | Yes | $49 | 3.3¢ | 2.4¢ | -$14 |
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 9.4¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $6 | 1.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$25 |
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 3.6¢ | 3.5¢ | -$0 |
Will Democrats win the Georgia Governor election and Republicans win the Georgia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | 12¢ | +$28 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$7 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.3¢ | 2.7¢ | +$15 |
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 3.7¢ | 5.3¢ | +$9 |
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $85 | 4.2¢ | 1.4¢ | -$57 |
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Politics | Yes | $29 | 4.3¢ | 4.2¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 4.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$13 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 2.7¢ | 1.8¢ | -$13 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | Yes | $8 | 0.4¢ | 1.4¢ | +$19 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 3.4¢ | 4.0¢ | +$4 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
Government shutdown by October 1?Politics | Yes | $40 | 1.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$14 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $166 | 4.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$142 |
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.0¢ | 3.2¢ | +$17 |
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 3.5¢ | 3.5¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | No | $46 | 3.5¢ | 1.7¢ | -$24 |
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?Politics | Yes | $37 | 3.9¢ | 2.4¢ | -$15 |
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 1.7¢ | 4.8¢ | +$14 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 2.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +$7 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | Yes | $23 | 4.7¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Weather | Yes | $20 | 5.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Politics | No | $20 | 2.0¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $103 | 3.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$81 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | Yes | $8 | 4.0¢ | 11¢ | +$13 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $78 | 1.1¢ | 0.3¢ | -$57 |
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | No | $5 | 2.0¢ | 8.9¢ | +$16 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 4.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$6 |
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 3.2¢ | 13¢ | +$15 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$14 |
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 3.9¢ | 7.0¢ | +$9 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 1.6¢ | 0.8¢ | -$20 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | Yes | $5 | 2.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$14 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$4 |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | Yes | $12 | 3.8¢ | 5.5¢ | +$6 |
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 5.4¢ | 5.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 4.5¢ | 7.0¢ | +$6 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 5.8¢ | +$17 |
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$0 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $12 | 3.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$6 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $15 | 6.0¢ | 6.9¢ | +$2 |
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 5.1¢ | 5.5¢ | +$1 |
OPEC dissolves in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 3.7¢ | 3.1¢ | -$3 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 2.0¢ | 6.7¢ | +$11 |
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 5.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$4 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 4.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$6 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 4.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$4 |