← Whale Watch

enrico-vasaio

Predicting since Jul 20231,069 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $20K on Crypto markets since Jul 2023.

Right now: $33K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.2K on Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$21K88¢94¢+$1.3K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$15K50¢57¢+$2.1K
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$12K85¢94¢+$1.3K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$15K50¢43¢-$2.1K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$11K94¢97¢+$274
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$11K94¢91¢-$325
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8.0K99¢100¢+$46
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7.2K94¢95¢+$18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.3K88¢92¢+$230
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$4.6K98¢98¢+$28
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.3K95¢96¢+$39
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechNo$3.9K99¢99¢+$9
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.3K93¢95¢+$48
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K99¢100¢+$33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.0K99¢99¢+$7
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Other sportsNo$2.8K97¢97¢+$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.5K83¢94¢+$325
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2.5K98¢98¢-$3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K99¢100¢+$18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.0K100¢100¢+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K99¢99¢+$5
GTA VI released before November 2026?CultureNo$1.5K94¢97¢+$47
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K91¢97¢+$102
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?TechNo$1.4K98¢100¢+$26
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1.4K96¢96¢+$8
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.2K85¢93¢+$115
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K99¢99¢+$9
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K96¢96¢-$5
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K83¢93¢+$127
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$50632¢69¢+$587
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$1.1K99¢99¢+$6
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?WeatherNo$1.1K96¢96¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?CryptoNo$99299¢100¢+$5
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$98398¢99¢+$8
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$94586¢88¢+$18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$93393¢95¢+$19
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$91893¢93¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$76885¢99¢+$126
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?CryptoYes$77477¢76¢-$18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$68985¢93¢+$65
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$61877¢94¢+$130
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$67387¢87¢-$4
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$64692¢92¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$56581¢92¢+$76
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?FinanceNo$59998¢100¢+$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$59459¢59¢-$9
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$51085¢91¢+$36
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?TechNo$27218¢31¢+$186
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$44695¢96¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$30361¢88¢+$134
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$39594¢99¢+$22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$31062¢82¢+$99
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?CryptoNo$33328¢33¢+$63
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$34887¢97¢+$39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$26557¢81¢+$114
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$32080¢95¢+$58
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?PoliticsNo$33083¢93¢+$44
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$34592¢98¢+$24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$40581¢73¢-$42
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$28471¢90¢+$76
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$35288¢88¢-$2
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$30170¢78¢+$32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$45229¢20¢-$147
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?PoliticsNo$29197¢96¢-$2
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$27692¢93¢+$2
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?TechNo$31489¢79¢-$37
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?CultureNo$27592¢93¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27268¢68¢+$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?PoliticsNo$24982¢90¢+$23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$13435¢71¢+$136
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$44241¢24¢-$183
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?PoliticsYes$23684¢87¢+$8
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18662¢81¢+$55
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$23699¢99¢+$1
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$17570¢90¢+$49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$23177¢73¢-$14
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$22976¢70¢-$18
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$19698¢99¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15678¢98¢+$40
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$19095¢97¢+$5
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?PoliticsNo$17085¢96¢+$22
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$17864¢69¢+$13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$18492¢87¢-$11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$11943¢63¢+$53
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$16281¢85¢+$8
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?CultureNo$17487¢85¢-$4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$16080¢85¢+$9
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?CryptoNo$13246¢59¢+$37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$15075¢80¢+$9
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$15477¢78¢+$1
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$19248¢36¢-$50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$13467¢69¢+$5
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?TechNo$12060¢65¢+$10
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?CryptoNo$13467¢65¢-$4
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsNo$47648¢11¢-$370
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$10444¢45¢+$1
Anthropic acquired before 2027?TechNo$10296¢97¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$16884¢49¢-$70
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$15075¢49¢-$53
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?TechNo$8888¢96¢+$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$20K
Culture+$7.4K
Tech+$3.5K
Politics-$3.3K
Mentions-$2.3K
Finance+$2.2K
Boxing-$880
Economy+$790
Other-$757
Soccer (other)+$690
NFL+$197
eSports+$152
Biggest hit
+$6.2K
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Toughest beat
-$7.5K
No Solana all time high in 2024?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?$125m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$04h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$04h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$04h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$04h ago
  • Bought No · Will GTA 6 cost $100+?$495h ago
  • Bought No · Will GTA 6 cost $100+?$405h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$07h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$08h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$011h ago