← Whale Watch

Pivko

Predicting since Mar 202371 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.2K on Politics markets since Mar 2023.

Right now: $750 across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsYes$2035.9¢7.2¢+$44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$2479.8¢9.5¢-$7
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$22011¢12¢+$10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2945.7¢3.6¢-$104
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1252.8¢1.5¢-$59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$489.0¢7.0¢-$11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?TechYesResolved$273.2¢0.0¢-$27
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?EconomyYesResolved$31817¢0.0¢-$318
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1010.5¢0.0¢-$101
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in September?EconomyYesResolved$412.0¢0.0¢-$41
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$95.3¢0.0¢-$9
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$588.0¢0.0¢-$58
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$1203.9¢0.0¢-$120
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$81.3¢0.0¢-$8
Will the US strike Cuba next?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$990.8¢0.0¢-$99
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5602.5¢0.0¢-$560
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? CryptoYesResolved$59117¢0.0¢-$591
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$613.6¢0.0¢-$61
Bybit insolvent in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$70.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the US strike another country first?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?PoliticsYesResolved$135.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?CryptoYesResolved$62.3¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$362.8¢0.0¢-$36
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$104.6¢0.0¢-$10
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$196.5¢0.0¢-$19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$130.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$2047¢0.0¢-$20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will the US strike Nigeria next?PoliticsYesResolved$80.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$721.0¢0.0¢-$72
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$2104.4¢0.0¢-$210
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$476.6¢0.0¢-$47
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$43.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$190.1¢0.0¢-$19
Will the US strike Mexico next?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$81.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$32.0¢0.0¢-$3
Netanyahu out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$156.7¢0.0¢-$15
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? CultureYesResolved$130.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will the US strike Venezuela next?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$133.7¢0.0¢-$13
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in September?EconomyYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?CryptoYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$123.9¢0.0¢-$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?CryptoYesResolved$81.4¢0.0¢-$8
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$51.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US strike Yemen next?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$814.5¢0.0¢-$81
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$520.7¢0.0¢-$52
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1900.2¢0.0¢-$190
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$978.5¢0.0¢-$97
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.2K
Economy-$750
Crypto-$656
Culture-$143
Other+$120
Tech-$111
World Cup-$90
Mentions-$47
Biggest hit
+$307
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
Toughest beat
-$181
zkSync airdrop by June 1?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$012d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$912d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$8713d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$513d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$413d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$114d ago