Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | Yes | $203 | 5.9¢ | 7.2¢ | +$44 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $247 | 9.8¢ | 9.5¢ | -$7 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $220 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$10 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $294 | 5.7¢ | 3.6¢ | -$104 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $125 | 2.8¢ | 1.5¢ | -$59 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $48 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$11 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $27 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?Economy | YesResolved | $318 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$318 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $101 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in September?Economy | YesResolved | $41 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $58 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $120 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the US strike Cuba next?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $560 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$560 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Crypto | YesResolved | $591 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$591 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $61 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
Bybit insolvent in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the US strike another country first?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $6 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the US strike Nigeria next?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $72 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $210 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $47 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $19 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the US strike Mexico next?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the US strike Venezuela next?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in September?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the US strike Yemen next?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $81 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $190 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$190 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $97 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |