← Belugo Whale Watch

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$2.1M volumeYes 0.5¢No 99¢
Sharp lean: 0% Yes100% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
0.5¢- 10xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794$499
- 20xf75655c8A40c3C376aDCad34429dd0AB2432C664-1766977593909$240
- 3TheLakeside$225
- 4KKCY3218$187
- 5topsecret17$104
- 6Crypto4thewin$96
- 70xd0981aa38AB7Af988109f514767E5EB16bC8bE8f-1769646675089$89
- 80x629B04ca1af2D096aD30738F12003EddF0281fE9-1783345538178$61
- 9Lunarcorona$55
- 10basedkz$35
- 11Pivko$24
- 12fiter$20
- 13
Wojtek$20 - 14BabyGroot$17
- 150x3ef9B514f2c07881f8C69910512b0438B6Ee4479-1773855473998$16
- 16planktonXD$16
- 17
wugeyi$15 - 18Ganngann$13
- 19alkud$12
- 200x51bf5269FAe3183B0ffa2c3Cbc601d8e104601Cb-1773154997504$9
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
99¢- 1janeju1029$20K
- 2
0xrc$20K - 3
AnjunSharp$17K - 4sheen07$15K
- 50x57F4274b4E3799D1872898398eA61d457F94Fce5-1779370129933$9.9K
- 6sheisgorgeous$7.3K
- 7xenonliu$7.0K
- 8LuLeo$6.7K
- 9MoD$5.9K
- 10Lisbon$5.6K
- 110x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136$5.4K
- 12
MisterAnderson.eth$5.0K - 13Lasting-Dessert$5.0K
- 14minisobaby$4.8K
- 150x4e25…d7a7Sharp$4.4K
- 16HAOI$4.1K
- 17bbbb323$4.0K
- 18samemma$3.1K
- 190x281b40DF033844301183Ee889fEc3d2b0d065233-1743658277326$3.0K
- 20
GamblingDino$2.8K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,020 on No @ 99¢toddler2d ago
- $1,554 on No @ 99¢HAOI2d ago
- $2,979 on No @ 99¢momo5138d ago
- $5,394 on No @ 99¢0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-17626884211368d ago
- $2,407 on No @ 99¢Lisbon18d ago
- $3,523 out of No @ 99¢fqyfqy19d ago
- $2,223 on No @ 99¢redpanda13524d ago
- $1,090 out of No @ 99¢VaughnRook24d ago
- $1,091 on No @ 99¢VaughnRook25d ago
- $4,800 on No @ 99¢minisobaby28d ago
- $1,184 out of No @ 99¢Callousio1mo ago
- $1,086 out of No @ 99¢QuinlanReign1mo ago
- $1,482 on No @ 99¢
Giorgio21mo ago - $1,087 on No @ 99¢QuinlanReign1mo ago
- $3,844 out of No @ 99¢
fxwd123451mo ago - $1,184 out of No @ 99¢LioranBlade1mo ago
- $1,186 on No @ 99¢LioranBlade1mo ago
- $1,086 out of No @ 99¢JasperKane1mo ago
- $1,087 on No @ 99¢JasperKane1mo ago
- $1,184 out of No @ 99¢EliasVoss1mo ago