← Belugo Whale Watch

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$1.4M volumeYes 1.5¢No 99¢
Sharp lean: 0% Yes100% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
1.5¢- 10xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794$1.3K
- 2topsecret17$754
- 30xf75655c8A40c3C376aDCad34429dd0AB2432C664-1766977593909$654
- 4ddw2222$390
- 5Crypto4thewin$261
- 60xd0981aa38AB7Af988109f514767E5EB16bC8bE8f-1769646675089$243
- 7TheLakeside$114
- 8Pivko$66
- 9fiter$54
- 10bachana$49
- 11dubing$45
- 120x3ef9B514f2c07881f8C69910512b0438B6Ee4479-1773855473998$43
- 13
Wojtek$40 - 14alkud$32
- 150x51bf5269FAe3183B0ffa2c3Cbc601d8e104601Cb-1773154997504$25
- 16ttwong1$23
- 170x896aB2caC03711c0648173C34F1f5dffe82bf878-1772300855934$23
- 18bloodstainedcactus$21
- 19simplystupid188$20
- 20EmaMT$19
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
99¢- 1janeju1029$20K
- 20xa642D3BFb88333933Ae697395c5251F37877B419-1778035812314$20K
- 3
0xrc$20K - 4
AnjunSharp$16K - 5sheen07$15K
- 6samemma$11K
- 70x57F4274b4E3799D1872898398eA61d457F94Fce5-1779370129933$9.8K
- 80xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001$9.4K
- 9sheisgorgeous$7.2K
- 10xenonliu$6.9K
- 11LuLeo$6.7K
- 12MoD$5.9K
- 13
MisterAnderson.eth$4.9K - 14Lasting-Dessert$4.9K
- 150x4e25…d7a7Sharp$4.4K
- 16
FXC$4.2K - 17bbbb323$3.9K
- 18
fxwd12345$3.8K - 19fqyfqy$3.5K
- 20
GamblingDino$2.8K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $8,304 out of No @ 98¢WarpSpeed2d ago
- $19,751 out of No @ 99¢0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-17700033880013d ago
- $2,314 out of No @ 99¢xenonliu5d ago
- $1,756 out of No @ 98¢0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-17700033880017d ago
- $3,085 out of No @ 98¢xenonliu7d ago
- $1,037 out of No @ 98¢0xee6e0092a9B3f67a3aC56D0b6a13a9B69AE75AEd-17643620416578d ago
- $1,312 out of No @ 99¢0x8C70a2f481a02D34b8a7a7128427e8b9E036A710-177401438357510d ago
- $1,183 on No @ 99¢Callousio11d ago
- $8,348 on No @ 99¢0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-177000338800118d ago
- $1,279 out of No @ 99¢willydh21d ago
- $6,693 on No @ 99¢LuLeo23d ago
- $1,033 out of No @ 98¢
OiOiOiCxxtCxxtCxxt23d ago - $2,773 out of No @ 98¢0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-178216897890024d ago
- $3,142 on No @ 98¢0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-178216897890024d ago
- $20,000 on No @ 98¢janeju102924d ago
- $1,406 out of No @ 98¢0x4b8777a2ab077269201Fa3050072Ca6c9eEbD09A-177459109492426d ago
- $2,734 out of No @ 98¢LZ061526d ago
- $2,117 on No @ 98¢
budu10027d ago - $2,545 out of No @ 97¢abnner202828d ago
- $1,049 on No @ 97¢hvan1mo ago