← Whale Watch

Wojtek

Predicting since Feb 20242,381 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $70K on Politics markets since Feb 2024.

Right now: $1.9K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$15K on Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep .

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4884.8¢8.3¢+$359
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5493.2¢4.9¢+$287
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5525.8¢8.5¢+$251
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$1.1K17¢12¢-$357
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$56210¢14¢+$201
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$8540.8¢0.5¢-$283
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$72018¢14¢-$155
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$73319¢14¢-$168
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$58048¢43¢-$61
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$56123¢20¢-$66
ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyYes$66522¢13¢-$280
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$38943¢43¢-$6
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$39143¢41¢-$26
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsYes$25711¢11¢-$8
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$19187¢100¢+$28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$14348¢56¢+$26
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$14448¢56¢+$23
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechYes$20013¢11¢-$37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$13056¢64¢+$17
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyYes$18820¢16¢-$41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$266.4¢28¢+$87
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechYes$9614¢16¢+$17
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$931.5¢1.8¢+$16
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?CryptoYes$1668.4¢5.5¢-$58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$9090¢97¢+$6
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?PoliticsYes$9797¢97¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$21720¢8.5¢-$123
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?TechNo$1397.3¢4.5¢-$52
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?PoliticsYes$1113.6¢2.6¢-$30
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$822.4¢2.4¢-$2
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$1276.5¢4.0¢-$50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$151.3¢7.0¢+$62
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$9315¢13¢-$17
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?TechYes$741.3¢1.1¢-$9
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?PoliticsYes$6532¢31¢-$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6522¢20¢-$6
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$269.3¢16¢+$19
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?CryptoYes$726.5¢4.1¢-$27
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$350.6¢0.8¢+$9
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$126.0¢22¢+$32
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$696.6¢3.9¢-$28
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$411.5¢1.5¢-$0
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$280.3¢0.4¢+$12
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$571.4¢0.9¢-$18
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$490.9¢0.7¢-$15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$463.9¢2.8¢-$13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$614.1¢2.1¢-$30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceNo$2725¢28¢+$4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$344.9¢3.6¢-$8
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$300.2¢0.1¢-$7
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$40.2¢1.1¢+$18
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$206.7¢6.5¢-$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsYes$206.7¢4.8¢-$6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$201.3¢0.8¢-$8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?FinanceYes$113.6¢3.3¢-$1
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$10.3¢3.4¢+$8
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$370.2¢0.1¢-$28
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$100.2¢0.1¢-$1
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$330.2¢0.1¢-$24
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$220.1¢0.1¢-$15
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$220.2¢0.1¢-$15
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$200.1¢0.1¢-$13
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$210.2¢0.1¢-$15
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$140.1¢0.1¢-$9
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$120.1¢0.1¢-$7
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$480.6¢0.1¢-$44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$220.3¢0.1¢-$19
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$10.3¢1.1¢+$2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in July?FinanceYes$10.3¢0.4¢+$0
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$00.3¢3.3¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$70K
Tech-$15K
Crypto-$14K
Mentions-$5.1K
Economy+$1.9K
Olympics-$1.5K
Culture+$1.1K
Other+$964
Weather-$931
Finance+$609
Premier League-$536
NBA-$422
Biggest hit
+$15K
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Toughest beat
-$3.9K
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$029m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$029m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$029m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$030m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$030m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$032m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$032m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$032m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$032m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$032m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$032m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$132m ago