← Whale Watch

Lasting-Dessert

Predicting since Mar 2023765 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $84K on Crypto markets since Mar 2023.

Right now: $24K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$19K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$21K71¢81¢+$2.9K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$11K59¢85¢+$4.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$11K85¢91¢+$663
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$11K85¢84¢-$212
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$9.8K98¢99¢+$155
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$9.8K98¢99¢+$135
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$8.5K85¢88¢+$250
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.2K97¢99¢+$196
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.9K98¢100¢+$65
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.9K99¢100¢+$37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4.8K97¢100¢+$147
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K95¢99¢+$175
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$4.8K97¢97¢+$10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4.6K93¢96¢+$178
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$4.6K91¢95¢+$210
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.8K95¢95¢-$22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$4.3K87¢95¢+$375
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.2K85¢95¢+$475
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3.1K62¢94¢+$1.6K
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.2K84¢93¢+$425
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$4.3K86¢89¢+$125
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.6K73¢88¢+$725
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4.1K82¢83¢+$25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.9K79¢81¢+$107
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4.0K79¢75¢-$225
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3.3K65¢65¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$4.0K81¢57¢-$1.2K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.4K86¢95¢+$239
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3.3K66¢51¢-$775
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K93¢98¢+$133
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K72¢88¢+$400
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K88¢96¢+$153
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K86¢93¢+$130
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.6K81¢96¢+$281
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$1.9K78¢73¢-$138
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$1.4K96¢97¢+$22
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$73391¢96¢+$42
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$60876¢87¢+$88
Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?CryptoNo$59594¢97¢+$19
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$55384¢80¢-$30
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$48589¢96¢+$37
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$47493¢96¢+$17
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$28971¢96¢+$102
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$30885¢81¢-$15
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$20567¢89¢+$67
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$10943¢86¢+$109
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?CryptoYes$57557¢10¢-$475
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$6868¢98¢+$30
Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1922¢55¢+$28
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$3378¢98¢+$9
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1781¢93¢+$3
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1151¢44¢-$1
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.8K57¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?FinanceNoResolved$2.0K82¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$63063¢0.0¢-$630
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$6.6K66¢0.0¢-$6.6K
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 December 1-7?CryptoNoResolved$62031¢0.0¢-$620
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K48¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17?CryptoNoResolved$36889¢0.0¢-$368
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$86034¢0.0¢-$860
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K52¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.5K68¢0.0¢-$3.5K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K52¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?CryptoNoResolved$1.7K84¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?CryptoYesResolved$34095¢0.0¢-$340
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.7K47¢0.0¢-$4.7K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.9K37¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?CryptoNoResolved$4.5K90¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$46819¢0.0¢-$468
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 1-7?CryptoNoResolved$1.6K80¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K64¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?CryptoNoResolved$2052¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6.6K66¢0.0¢-$6.6K
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechNoResolved$1.5K77¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$4.0K79¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2.4K49¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3.3K66¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K80¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 1-7?CryptoNoResolved$1.0K51¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5.1K72¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12K94¢0.0¢-$12K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$7.5K75¢0.0¢-$7.5K
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$1.9K94¢0.0¢-$1.9K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$5.0K99¢0.0¢-$5.0K
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K74¢0.0¢-$1.5K
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$11984¢0.0¢-$119
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8.2K82¢0.0¢-$8.2K
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K55¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K69¢0.0¢-$1.1K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$1.2K49¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?CryptoNoResolved$2.9K88¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K68¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$80380¢0.0¢-$803
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?CryptoNoResolved$1.2K61¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Solana reach $140 December 1-7?CryptoNoResolved$1.5K75¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?FinanceNoResolved$2.0K80¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNoResolved$4.6K91¢0.0¢-$4.6K
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K56¢0.0¢-$1.1K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$12K80¢0.0¢-$12K
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$56048¢0.0¢-$560

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$84K
Politics-$33K
Other-$19K
Finance+$5.4K
Economy+$5.3K
Culture+$3.1K
Tech-$2.2K
World Cup-$887
Boxing+$109
Tennis+$13
Biggest hit
+$19K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$29K
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.5K3h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$53h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$173h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.3K3h ago
  • Bought No · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?$14h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$66h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$237h ago
  • Bought No · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?$29410h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$54523h ago
  • Bought No · Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.0K1d ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$2.5K1d ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$101d ago