← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
$1.4M volumeYes 18¢No 83¢
Sharp lean: 4% Yes96% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
18¢- 1btc333$12K
- 2noman2026$11K
- 3
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0$9.3K - 4gabimaru0$6.4K
- 5
8973YEDGJSharp$5.8K - 6eNakeVets$4.3K
- 7F21$3.6K
- 8
BTCG33K$2.8K - 90x93845E38eBFF920d3dD29e04E2c12C6ad1F756Fe-1769758771027$2.4K
- 100x3C1253E36380805781A71649D138F0ee9D4C7514-1774614679997$2.1K
- 11DarthCarpool$1.9K
- 12Carpool$1.7K
- 13jorgenjoy$1.6K
- 14wglbnwallet$1.6K
- 15
reelcs$1.4K - 16dores520$1.2K
- 17Sebaschaps$1.2K
- 18589985$1.2K
- 19Drivetim3$1.2K
- 20
JoebamaBiden$1.1K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
83¢- 1JnStTrdrBnusFndSharp$145K
- 2tsihkodiives$56K
- 3LuckyChole$26K
- 4Mpire1$25K
- 50x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952$23K
- 6name418$20K
- 7Marioy$19K
- 8XRPisSH8T$16K
- 9
smallpig$16K - 10justfknsendit$11K
- 11
AnjunSharp$10K - 12
aleksandmoney$8.9K - 13828$8.7K
- 14W1nner$7.2K
- 15
yen4u$7.1K - 16falsita$4.1K
- 17Lasting-Dessert$4.1K
- 18choohkz23$3.9K
- 19Jkk21$3.7K
- 20sufferStriver$3.2K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,196 out of Yes @ 12¢0x1404ea3A761c8F559B177A180F5521acFC197883-177742006070321h ago
- $12,000 on Yes @ 17¢btc3332d ago
- $1,050 out of No @ 84¢pako3d ago
- $15,300 on No @ 85¢justfknsendit3d ago
- $1,838 on Yes @ 16¢eNakeVets3d ago
- $1,020 on Yes @ 17¢Sebaschaps5d ago
- $10,000 on No @ 92¢
smallpig7d ago - $4,000 on No @ 88¢
smallpig7d ago - $3,000 on No @ 86¢
smallpig7d ago - $1,604 on Yes @ 16¢0x1404ea3A761c8F559B177A180F5521acFC197883-17774200607037d ago
- $1,025 on Yes @ 15¢
BTCG33K10d ago - $3,034 on No @ 86¢JnStTrdrBnusFnd10d ago
- $3,385 on No @ 85¢JnStTrdrBnusFnd10d ago
- $1,067 out of No @ 83¢0x92318178C4B81150570B7F780183048631d82212-177237100289810d ago
- $1,558 on No @ 82¢JnStTrdrBnusFnd11d ago
- $1,620 on No @ 81¢JnStTrdrBnusFnd11d ago
- $1,101 on No @ 79¢
yen4u12d ago - $4,154 on No @ 79¢
yen4u12d ago - $1,580 on No @ 79¢
yen4u12d ago - $5,400 on No @ 79¢JnStTrdrBnusFnd12d ago