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Predicting since Feb 2025312 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $67K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $140K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$119K	99¢	100¢	+$723
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$107K	89¢	93¢	+$4.5K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	No	$69K	98¢	99¢	+$681
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	No	$59K	86¢	94¢	+$4.8K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$47K	89¢	95¢	+$2.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics	No	$47K	99¢	99¢	+$292
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics	No	$40K	86¢	96¢	+$4.6K
Trump out as President by September 30?Politics	No	$40K	99¢	99¢	+$111
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics	No	$39K	99¢	100¢	+$525
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$39K	98¢	97¢	-$161
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$36K	98¢	98¢	+$240
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics	No	$25K	96¢	96¢	+$35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$20K	99¢	99¢	+$10
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$16K	98¢	99¢	+$207
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$14K	85¢	93¢	+$1.4K
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture	Yes	$12K	91¢	94¢	+$365
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics	No	$7.2K	81¢	96¢	+$1.3K
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$7.9K	92¢	97¢	+$385
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$7.5K	98¢	99¢	+$127
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics	No	$4.4K	89¢	95¢	+$295
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$4.3K	78¢	78¢	-$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$3.7K	90¢	95¢	+$205
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	No	$3.9K	78¢	78¢	-$45
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$2.8K	95¢	99¢	+$110
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2.2K	89¢	94¢	+$113
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$2.2K	97¢	99¢	+$52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$2.1K	85¢	85¢	-$13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$1.4K	99¢	99¢	+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$1.2K	94¢	90¢	-$51
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$344	74¢	92¢	+$81
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$342	56¢	45¢	-$69
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$210	42¢	54¢	+$62
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$900	45¢	12¢	-$670
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Crypto	NoResolved	$17K	99¢	0.0¢	-$17K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$67K

Crypto-$55K

Soccer (other)-$12K

NHL-$9.5K

NBA+$6.4K

World Cup+$4.9K

Tennis-$3.0K

NFL-$2.6K

Boxing+$1.7K

Premier League-$1.1K

Culture+$722

Basketball (other)+$632

Biggest hit

+$13K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Toughest beat

-$50K

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Recent moves

Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$217s ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$4842m ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$35517m ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$5331h ago
Bought No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$21h ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?$20K1d ago
Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$1.8K5d ago
Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$05d ago
Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$1145d ago
Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$05d ago
Bought No · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.5K5d ago
Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$1085d ago