← Whale Watch
Crypto4thewin
Down $3.3K on Politics markets since Aug 2025.
Right now: $4.0K riding on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?.
Biggest hit: +$2.2K on US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$798 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 6.7¢ | 3.6¢ | -$1.8K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1000 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$292 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $377 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$102 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $605 | 3.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$344 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $189 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
 Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?Champions League | YesResolved | $50 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $410 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$410 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$3.3K
Mentions+$301
Champions League-$50
Biggest hit
+$2.2K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$279
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?