← Whale Watch

0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794

Predicting since Jan 20261,520 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $16K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $45K riding on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$32K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$27K22¢20¢-$3.5K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$23K34¢33¢-$926
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$45K7.8¢3.6¢-$24K
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$13K33¢26¢-$2.6K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9.6K43¢36¢-$1.6K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$9.3K17¢12¢-$3.1K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$9.4K19¢13¢-$3.3K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$5.4K13¢7.5¢-$2.2K
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$5.4K12¢6.9¢-$2.4K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.2K23¢24¢+$97
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.1K8.0¢8.5¢+$130
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$2.5K12¢9.5¢-$584
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$4.9K1.4¢0.4¢-$3.4K
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.2K23¢15¢-$729
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4.0K4.5¢1.5¢-$2.7K
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.5K20¢18¢-$165
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.7K0.9¢0.7¢-$423
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.8K10¢6.5¢-$665
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.1K21¢20¢-$48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$2.0K14¢5.9¢-$1.1K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$9670.7¢0.7¢-$115
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$9197.0¢6.5¢-$71
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.1K0.2¢0.1¢-$279
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.1K0.6¢0.4¢-$278
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K14¢6.5¢-$848
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6220.8¢0.9¢+$39
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$8430.7¢0.5¢-$208
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$81617¢13¢-$230
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9380.7¢0.4¢-$459
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8950.1¢0.1¢-$448
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5920.6¢0.4¢-$166
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4600.8¢0.7¢-$71
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsYes$42334¢32¢-$35
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$2847.8¢11¢+$96
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$58512¢7.5¢-$209
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$81426¢12¢-$445
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8091.6¢0.7¢-$455
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3980.4¢0.4¢-$56
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$70510¢4.5¢-$395
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$42417¢12¢-$127
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$4727.5¢4.5¢-$189
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$6330.9¢0.4¢-$385
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5630.6¢0.3¢-$323
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$19816¢17¢+$3
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030.7¢0.7¢-$10
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$4870.9¢0.4¢-$307
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5040.7¢0.3¢-$330
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$20026¢21¢-$36
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$18825¢21¢-$31
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$1573.8¢3.5¢-$9
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1540.5¢0.4¢-$14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$14413¢13¢-$6
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1401.0¢0.9¢-$3
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1330.3¢0.4¢+$1
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$19330¢20¢-$64
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12011¢12¢+$8
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsYes$29930¢12¢-$184
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1420.8¢0.7¢-$27
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3150.7¢0.3¢-$204
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1470.7¢0.5¢-$37
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1410.8¢0.7¢-$33
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2080.7¢0.4¢-$103
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1177.5¢6.5¢-$15
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1150.9¢0.8¢-$19
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1510.4¢0.3¢-$58
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$19211¢5.1¢-$100
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1080.9¢0.8¢-$17
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$371.5¢3.6¢+$50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$1861.3¢0.6¢-$101
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1710.7¢0.4¢-$86
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1940.6¢0.3¢-$113
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1800.6¢0.3¢-$105
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$800.3¢0.3¢-$7
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?PoliticsYes$2247.1¢2.3¢-$152
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1710.8¢0.4¢-$101
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15428¢13¢-$85
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$750.6¢0.5¢-$8
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1380.9¢0.4¢-$73
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1370.8¢0.4¢-$76
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?PoliticsNo$1179.2¢4.3¢-$62
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1010.7¢0.4¢-$50
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$440.7¢0.9¢+$6
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$590.2¢0.1¢-$15
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$540.7¢0.5¢-$12
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$390.7¢0.8¢+$3
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsYes$316.0¢7.5¢+$8
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$230.7¢1.1¢+$15
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$360.8¢0.9¢+$2
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsYes$808.3¢3.8¢-$44
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$500.9¢0.7¢-$14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$11716¢4.5¢-$84
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$50.3¢2.1¢+$28
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3112¢13¢+$2
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$630.7¢0.4¢-$31
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$7417¢6.5¢-$45
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$780.7¢0.3¢-$50
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$470.6¢0.4¢-$19
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$180.2¢0.3¢+$9
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$100.4¢1.1¢+$17
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$180.2¢0.3¢+$9

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$16K
Culture-$4.0K
World Cup-$2.1K
Mentions-$1.1K
Other sports-$482
Crypto+$245
Economy+$99
NFL-$33
Tech+$19
Biggest hit
+$32K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Toughest beat
-$7.7K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$19m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$010m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$011m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$011m ago
  • Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$012m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$212m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$4412m ago
  • Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$016m ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$3920m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$223m ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$2135m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$9038m ago