Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $14K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$21 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $12K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$111 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $3.0K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.0K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $2.9K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$55 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $2.7K | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$196 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $2.9K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $2.7K | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$233 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $2.8K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$84 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $2.9K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$20 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $2.9K | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$57 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2.9K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$39 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $2.9K | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $2.7K | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$150 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2.7K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$142 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $2.4K | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$430 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.8K | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $2.7K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$113 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$171 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$232 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.7K | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$96 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$87 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.5K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$45 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$32 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.3K | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$118 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $2.3K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$5 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $2.3K | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$20 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$105 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | No | $2.0K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1.9K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$116 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$10 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $1.9K | 95¢ | 89¢ | -$120 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $1.7K | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$36 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.8K | 91¢ | 80¢ | -$239 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $1.5K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$70 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $1.1K | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$22 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $1.1K | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$27 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $874 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$136 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $1.0K | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$16 |
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $932 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$38 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $947 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics | Yes | $936 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$11 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $910 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$5 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $818 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$15 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $724 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$32 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $760 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$4 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $718 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$37 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $719 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | No | $720 | 96¢ | 92¢ | -$31 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $733 | 91¢ | 82¢ | -$73 |
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | Yes | $573 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $576 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?Finance | No | $568 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Culture | Yes | $577 | 98¢ | 96¢ | -$9 |
Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics | No | $572 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$8 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $546 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $534 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$3 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $468 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$51 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $552 | 92¢ | 84¢ | -$51 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Finance | No | $582 | 97¢ | 81¢ | -$96 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?Finance | No | $493 | 99¢ | 96¢ | -$15 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $430 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$35 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?Tech | No | $431 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $522 | 87¢ | 72¢ | -$93 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $419 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $504 | 84¢ | 69¢ | -$93 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $470 | 94¢ | 82¢ | -$63 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $388 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | No | $375 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $422 | 70¢ | 61¢ | -$59 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $296 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $293 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $289 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $298 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$9 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $289 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Finance | No | $290 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$7 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?Crypto | No | $275 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?Crypto | Yes | $263 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$16 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?Crypto | No | $276 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | No | $259 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $248 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $209 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $245 | 82¢ | 68¢ | -$43 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?Finance | No | $192 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Finance | No | $198 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$6 |
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $145 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Culture | No | $145 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $138 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $126 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $99 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?Crypto | No | $96 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?Crypto | No | $97 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $88 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?Finance | No | $77 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $47 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $39 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?Politics | No | $35 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |