 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $122K | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$12K |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22K | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$1.5K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $15K | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$3.1K |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $12K | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $11K | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$1.1K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1.2K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9.5K | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$2.4K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$379 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $8.8K | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$145 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Economy | No | $7.0K | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$34 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $6.5K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$139 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $6.0K | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$197 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4.4K | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$917 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $4.6K | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$323 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.5K | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$140 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $4.3K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$248 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $3.9K | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$433 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $4.1K | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$81 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$279 |
 Trump meets with Putin by September 30?Politics | No | $3.1K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$103 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3.2K | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$16 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Politics | No | $3.0K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$42 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$53 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$282 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$187 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.4K | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$93 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $2.0K | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$180 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2.0K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.6K | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$350 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 49¢ | 45¢ | -$165 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics | No | $2.0K | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$271 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.4K | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$327 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 60¢ | 93¢ | +$565 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 69¢ | 36¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 76¢ | 97¢ | +$333 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$37 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $920 | 55¢ | 87¢ | +$528 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 55¢ | 54¢ | -$37 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.2K | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$230 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | No | $1.3K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$42 |
 Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$49 |
 Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $2.1K | 78¢ | 47¢ | -$835 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$40 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1.1K | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$141 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $924 | 69¢ | 84¢ | +$191 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $1.1K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$6 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $1.0K | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$39 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $907 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$18 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Politics | No | $911 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Politics | No | $917 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$9 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $984 | 88¢ | 81¢ | -$81 |
 Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?Politics | No | $951 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$50 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $838 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$15 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $813 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $484 | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$322 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | No | $786 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $725 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $675 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$47 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $549 | 64¢ | 80¢ | +$141 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $540 | 68¢ | 87¢ | +$148 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $617 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$70 |
 Exact Score: AJ Auxerre 1 - 3 OGC Nice?Soccer (other) | No | $649 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$5 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $659 | 96¢ | 93¢ | -$24 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $595 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$23 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?Politics | No | $588 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $486 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$123 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $601 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$7 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $606 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$20 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $511 | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$73 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?Tech | No | $562 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $583 | 73¢ | 72¢ | -$12 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?Economy | No | $550 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $471 | 74¢ | 87¢ | +$76 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $473 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$43 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $447 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$61 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AugustPolitics | Nothing | $488 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $582 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$76 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $492 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
 Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $493 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $431 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$44 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?Tech | No | $443 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$30 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Politics | No | $453 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $373 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$67 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Politics | Yes | $430 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
 Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $408 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $380 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$49 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $290 | 67¢ | 95¢ | +$119 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $388 | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$21 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $380 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Exact Score: Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Real Salt Lake?MLS | No | $387 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$5 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $365 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $360 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $360 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$3 |
 Will CDU win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $351 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $286 | 63¢ | 77¢ | +$62 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $317 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$19 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Tech | No | $278 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$46 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?$2473h ago
Cashed out No · Over $15M committed to the Linera public sale?$310h ago