 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $95K | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$7.5K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $51K | 74¢ | 81¢ | +$4.4K |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $39K | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1.5K |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $20K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$568 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14K | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$315 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $12K | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $10K | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$1.1K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $10K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$357 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $9.2K | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$94 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.1K | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$1.2K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.9K | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$51 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6.1K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$299 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?Crypto | No | $3.6K | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$272 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $3.4K | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$421 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $3.3K | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$249 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $3.4K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$24 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $3.1K | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$225 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.1K | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$155 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $2.7K | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$239 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Politics | No | $2.7K | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$96 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | No | $2.1K | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$229 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$63 |
 Will Solana dip to $50 in July?Crypto | No | $2.1K | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$93 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?Crypto | No | $1.9K | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$86 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$36 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $1.9K | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$69 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$51 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$25 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$75 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 60¢ | 92¢ | +$548 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$40 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 57¢ | 68¢ | +$237 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$11 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.4K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$40 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Crypto | No | $1.2K | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$107 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.4K | 95¢ | 88¢ | -$109 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$57 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $1.1K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $920 | 55¢ | 65¢ | +$162 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $940 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$71 |
 Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | No | $997 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$15 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?Crypto | No | $922 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$39 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?Crypto | No | $852 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $878 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $765 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$72 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $617 | 68¢ | 91¢ | +$206 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $747 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$39 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $698 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$27 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | No | $675 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$41 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $677 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$34 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | No | $695 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $668 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?Finance | No | $665 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$18 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $577 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $619 | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$49 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $505 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$24 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $484 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBA | No | $449 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $442 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$12 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $439 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $373 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$47 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $416 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $384 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $380 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$16 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $290 | 67¢ | 89¢ | +$93 |
 Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?Politics | No | $355 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?Crypto | No | $316 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?Politics | No | $323 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $286 | 63¢ | 69¢ | +$26 |
 Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $273 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$34 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $322 | 58¢ | 55¢ | -$17 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $201 | 53¢ | 79¢ | +$97 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $271 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$26 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $281 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $276 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | No | $288 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$12 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?Finance | No | $411 | 95¢ | 61¢ | -$145 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $248 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $223 | 49¢ | 54¢ | +$21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $402 | 68¢ | 41¢ | -$164 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $153 | 46¢ | 71¢ | +$84 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $196 | 61¢ | 73¢ | +$39 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $214 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $142 | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$79 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in July?Crypto | No | $189 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$28 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $302 | 52¢ | 38¢ | -$86 |
| Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?Crypto | No | $200 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | No | $187 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$14 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?Politics | No | $198 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $190 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?MLS | No | $227 | 98¢ | 85¢ | -$29 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $188 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$7 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $188 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | No | $186 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $182 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Megaquake by July 31?Weather | No | $167 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$21 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $162 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$12 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $151 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Crypto | No | $140 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |