 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $589K | 43¢ | 80¢ | +$500K |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $40K | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$3.0K |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $25K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$13K |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37K | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$1.0K |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | No | $22K | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$2.5K |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15K | 55¢ | 84¢ | +$8.3K |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $20K | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$182 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics | Yes | $13K | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $12K | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$75 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$13K |
 Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $11K | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$229 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $9.6K | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$25 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | No | $7.3K | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $8.4K | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$28 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $7.9K | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$110 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $7.5K | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$115 |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $7.3K | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$84 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $6.4K | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$527 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $9.7K | 73¢ | 49¢ | -$3.2K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5.3K | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$929 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6.8K | 66¢ | 59¢ | -$711 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $5.7K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$72 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6.8K | 56¢ | 47¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5.3K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$306 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $5.8K | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$215 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6.1K | 73¢ | 64¢ | -$794 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4.8K | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$20 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $4.5K | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$43 |
 Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.3K | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$88 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.3K | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $4.2K | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$24 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$54 |
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics | No | $4.1K | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$8 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?Finance | No | $3.8K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$220 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13K | 66¢ | 20¢ | -$9.3K |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $3.9K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$28 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$374 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$211 |
 Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $5.4K | 71¢ | 49¢ | -$1.7K |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.9K | 65¢ | 62¢ | -$210 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Politics | No | $4.0K | 92¢ | 81¢ | -$494 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | No | $3.5K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $3.5K | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$80 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3.7K | 93¢ | 84¢ | -$366 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$180 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.7K | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$423 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$69 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $3.2K | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $3.1K | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$50 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.2K | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$88 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Economy | No | $3.3K | 72¢ | 67¢ | -$237 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $2.9K | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$134 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $2.1K | 61¢ | 79¢ | +$603 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $2.6K | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$14 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 72¢ | 67¢ | -$176 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $2.3K | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$6 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $2.2K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$107 |
 GTA VI released by November 30?Culture | Yes | $2.3K | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
 Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Politics | No | $2.3K | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics | No | $2.0K | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$144 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Tech | No | $1.9K | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$198 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$125 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $2.9K | 88¢ | 62¢ | -$884 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Finance | No | $2.1K | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$113 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | No | $1.8K | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$152 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $1.9K | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$13 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 72¢ | 61¢ | -$362 |
 Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Crypto | No | $1.8K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$10 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$29 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $1.6K | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$188 |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $1.8K | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$50 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$143 |
 Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$9 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance | No | $1.6K | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$95 |
 Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBA | No | $1.6K | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$30 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$10 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$82 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$57 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $1.7K | 93¢ | 82¢ | -$210 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$35 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $1.5K | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$24 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $1.5K | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$23 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $1.5K | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$23 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $1.5K | 76¢ | 71¢ | -$110 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$84 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | No | $1.2K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Finance | No | $1.2K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$71 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$24 |
 Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$197 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $1.1K | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$2 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
 Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $999 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$33 |
Bought Yes · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$3993m ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?$1863m ago
Sold Yes · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?$14m ago
Sold No · Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?$14m ago
Sold No · Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$7634m ago