Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $3.9K | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$117 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $485 | 24¢ | 67¢ | +$859 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $599 | 61¢ | 95¢ | +$339 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $746 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$150 |
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | No | $773 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$85 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $832 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$16 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $312 | 42¢ | 59¢ | +$126 |
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Politics | Yes | $895 | 53¢ | 24¢ | -$493 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics | No | $389 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6.1K | 87¢ | 5.5¢ | -$5.7K |
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $243 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Politics | No | $180 | 72¢ | 97¢ | +$62 |
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $238 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Politics | No | $243 | 97¢ | 91¢ | -$17 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $108 | 43¢ | 81¢ | +$93 |
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Politics | No | $177 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $157 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$4 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $140 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $62 | 18¢ | 42¢ | +$79 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $107 | 50¢ | 65¢ | +$31 |
Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026?World Cup | No | $138 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $96 | 71¢ | 95¢ | +$32 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $98 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$26 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $51 | 40¢ | 87¢ | +$59 |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $75 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$24 |
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?Culture | No | $10 | 8.5¢ | 84¢ | +$89 |
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $91 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $81 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?Politics | No | $96 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $74 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$21 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $78 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$15 |
Pro Football: Aaron Donald to Play Week 1?NFL | No | $60 | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$31 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $80 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $381 | 85¢ | 20¢ | -$293 |
X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics | No | $84 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Politics | Yes | $89 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$4 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $119 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$36 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $39 | 37¢ | 79¢ | +$44 |
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | No | $80 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Economy | No | $84 | 84¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $75 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $72 | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$4 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 59¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 56¢ | 64¢ | +$8 |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 32¢ | 63¢ | +$31 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Economy | No | $60 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | Yes | $813 | 73¢ | 5.3¢ | -$755 |
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | No | $59 | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $30 | 43¢ | 80¢ | +$26 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $41 | 72¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | No | $46 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?Tech | No | $45 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Politics | Yes | $48 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics | No | $46 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $36 | 36¢ | 49¢ | +$13 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Politics | No | $31 | 62¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $47 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Politics | No | $48 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $92 | 41¢ | 21¢ | -$45 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 50¢ | 95¢ | +$23 |
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $48 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
UK Recession in 2026?Economy | No | $48 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Politics | Yes | $48 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $46 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?Politics | No | $60 | 79¢ | 62¢ | -$13 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $46 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $42 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | No | $46 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 43.0 in September?Economy | No | $45 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $42 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$12 |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 66¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 31¢ | 86¢ | +$28 |
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $41 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Politics | No | $44 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $20 | 40¢ | 84¢ | +$22 |
ChatGPT Outage by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $49 | 98¢ | 82¢ | -$8 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | No | $44 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | No | $47 | 95¢ | 81¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $15 | 30¢ | 81¢ | +$25 |