← Whale Watch

tinman2

Predicting since Oct 20201,353 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $20K on Politics markets since Oct 2020.

Right now: $22K across 6 NBA markets.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Will Biden finish his term?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?NBANo$8.2K81¢99¢+$1.8K
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5.6K90¢96¢+$343
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$3.9K78¢100¢+$1.1K
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBANo$4.9K99¢100¢+$64
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$3.9K78¢100¢+$1.1K
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$4.4K88¢100¢+$597
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$4.5K90¢100¢+$507
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.1K24¢17¢-$622
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$92692¢97¢+$54
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$59961¢95¢+$339
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$74672¢80¢+$90
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6.1K87¢12¢-$5.2K
Weed rescheduled by December 31?PoliticsNo$77376¢77¢+$8
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$79174¢72¢-$21
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$57780¢99¢+$144
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceYes$33724¢44¢+$262
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?NFLNo$49896¢100¢+$20
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?PoliticsYes$89553¢28¢-$418
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$48124¢17¢-$145
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$16154¢99¢+$137
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$23895¢97¢+$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$35388¢59¢-$119
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?PoliticsNo$17790¢96¢+$11
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?EconomyYes$20278¢56¢-$58
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$14094¢93¢-$1
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$9671¢92¢+$29
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsYes$9874¢94¢+$26
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$31390¢31¢-$205
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$7575¢97¢+$22
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?PoliticsNo$9696¢96¢+$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$7474¢93¢+$19
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherYes$7575¢89¢+$14
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$8080¢89¢+$8
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$5140¢68¢+$35
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$8181¢85¢+$4
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$81373¢7.6¢-$729
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$8092¢96¢+$3
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsNo$8487¢85¢-$2
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$7979¢80¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$11826¢17¢-$39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$12684¢53¢-$47
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyYes$16162¢30¢-$82
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$7575¢78¢+$3
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$3937¢71¢+$36
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$8476¢67¢-$11
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$9393¢73¢-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3221¢42¢+$30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$18145¢15¢-$121
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$20564¢19¢-$145
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3468¢100¢+$16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4895¢99¢+$2
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4693¢98¢+$3
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?PoliticsNo$4691¢97¢+$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4793¢97¢+$2
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsNo$6079¢64¢-$12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?PoliticsNo$4795¢96¢+$0
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$4691¢96¢+$2
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$4895¢96¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4487¢95¢+$4
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$4172¢81¢+$5
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$4284¢93¢+$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?PoliticsNo$4692¢92¢-$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$4590¢92¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1225¢92¢+$33
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4793¢91¢-$1
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?TechNo$4590¢91¢+$0
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?EconomyNo$4691¢91¢-$0
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?EconomyNo$4795¢90¢-$2
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$4283¢90¢+$4
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3978¢89¢+$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4181¢89¢+$4
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?PoliticsNo$4589¢89¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4793¢88¢-$2
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$4693¢88¢-$2
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$4590¢88¢-$1
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4284¢88¢+$2
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$4284¢87¢+$2
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$4589¢87¢-$1
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?PoliticsNo$4691¢87¢-$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechYes$4284¢87¢+$1
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?EconomyNo$4284¢85¢+$0
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$3232¢41¢+$9
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$3977¢82¢+$3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$3264¢81¢+$9
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$4793¢81¢-$6
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?PoliticsNo$3162¢81¢+$10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$4182¢81¢-$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?PoliticsNo$3978¢80¢+$1
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsNo$4487¢76¢-$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3366¢76¢+$5
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?EconomyNo$4081¢75¢-$3
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$7559¢29¢-$39
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?EconomyYes$3671¢71¢-$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$5230¢20¢-$17
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$3636¢35¢-$1
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?PoliticsNo$3273¢79¢+$2
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$3569¢68¢-$1
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$2040¢68¢+$14
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4848¢34¢-$14
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?PoliticsNo$2549¢66¢+$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$20K
NBA+$5.4K
Other-$3.7K
Economy-$2.6K
Tennis+$2.3K
Tech-$1.3K
Other sports-$1.1K
Weather-$623
Culture+$528
Crypto+$486
World Cup-$354
Formula 1+$291
Biggest hit
+$14K
Will Biden finish his term?
Toughest beat
-$11K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1013h ago
  • Bought Philadelphia Phillies · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$615h ago
  • Bought Philadelphia Phillies · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$616h ago
  • Bought New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$616h ago
  • MERGE New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$516h ago
  • Bought Philadelphia Phillies · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$216h ago
  • Bought New York Yankees · New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$316h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30?$3522h ago
  • Bought No · Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?$4823h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$481d ago
  • Bought Yes · SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30?$151d ago