← Whale Watch

AaronCA

Predicting since Jul 202649 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.1K on Politics markets since Jul 2026.

Right now: $1.4K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?CultureYes$1.1K20¢32¢+$600
Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K76¢98¢+$288
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$90464¢78¢+$201
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsNo$50630¢54¢+$382
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$74052¢52¢-$7
Will Shrek 5 be delayed?OtherNo$72476¢75¢-$7
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?TechNo$47372¢97¢+$159
Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?TechNo$37663¢98¢+$210
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$44584¢86¢+$9
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?PoliticsNo$38137¢43¢+$65
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?WeatherYes$17037¢97¢+$270
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$1556.8¢19¢+$282
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$24760¢91¢+$127
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$19029¢49¢+$129
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYes$19451¢64¢+$50
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYes$14217¢24¢+$59
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?EconomyYes$478.1¢31¢+$131
Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 15%+?FinanceNo$13875¢83¢+$15
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMANo$5533¢69¢+$63
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$9595¢94¢-$0
Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherNo$5049¢92¢+$44
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026?EconomyYes$6813¢18¢+$25
Will A24 announce a new project at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$7751¢49¢-$4
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?PoliticsYes$24431¢8.5¢-$176
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$4795¢96¢+$1
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsYes$162.8¢7.1¢+$25
Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$3194¢100¢+$2
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?UFC / MMAYes$33.2¢23¢+$20
Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsNo$1057¢98¢+$7
Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 9%-12%?FinanceYes$1332¢39¢+$3
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsYes$110¢24¢+$1
Will QHP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$10.7¢1.8¢+$1
Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?PoliticsNo$737¢11¢-$5
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sportsNo$147¢100¢+$1
Will Brett Newby be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$183.1¢0.0¢-$18

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.1K
Tech+$655
Culture+$624
Weather+$424
Economy+$283
Other sports+$132
UFC / MMA+$83
Finance+$27
Other-$7
Biggest hit
+$477
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Toughest beat
-$823
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$101h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$72h ago
  • Sold No · Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?$203h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$133h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$104h ago
  • Sold No · Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?$224h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$4327h ago
  • Sold No · Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?$2210h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$1714h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?$1015h ago
  • Sold No · Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in July?$6315h ago
  • Sold No · Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in July?$7315h ago