 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$22 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Politics | No | $435 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$28 |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $368 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Politics | Yes | $368 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Politics | No | $395 | 82¢ | 73¢ | -$46 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?Politics | No | $336 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $356 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$26 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $308 | 77¢ | 72¢ | -$22 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | No | $261 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
 Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $264 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$6 |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Culture | Yes | $276 | 92¢ | 85¢ | -$22 |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Politics | Yes | $258 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$4 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $348 | 87¢ | 63¢ | -$96 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $250 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$4 |
 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $227 | 83¢ | 76¢ | -$20 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $185 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $270 | 54¢ | 39¢ | -$78 |
 Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $198 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$8 |
 Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?NBA | Yes | $185 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $183 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $162 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$17 |
 Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $180 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$8 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $162 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$9 |
 Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $147 | 61¢ | 71¢ | +$23 |
 Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Politics | No | $170 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $158 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
 Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Politics | Yes | $172 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$11 |
 Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $166 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$8 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $148 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$8 |
 Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $160 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $170 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$16 |
 Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $144 | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$9 |
 Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?Politics | No | $107 | 67¢ | 95¢ | +$45 |
 Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $153 | 60¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
 Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Politics | Yes | $152 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Politics | Yes | $156 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$5 |
 Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Politics | No | $156 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $110 | 73¢ | 98¢ | +$37 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $160 | 80¢ | 73¢ | -$15 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $104 | 61¢ | 85¢ | +$41 |
 Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $120 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$22 |
 Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $168 | 84¢ | 71¢ | -$26 |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $113 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$29 |
 Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $150 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$9 |
 Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $125 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$16 |
 Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Politics | No | $111 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$29 |
 Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?Finance | American Express | $136 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $101 | 63¢ | 86¢ | +$36 |
 Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?Politics | No | $128 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$8 |
 Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Politics | No | $157 | 79¢ | 68¢ | -$22 |
 Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?eSports | Yes | $167 | 84¢ | 67¢ | -$33 |
 Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $160 | 80¢ | 66¢ | -$28 |
 Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?NFL | No | $128 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$4 |
 Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini?Politics | No | $96 | 64¢ | 88¢ | +$35 |
 Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Other | No | $89 | 47¢ | 68¢ | +$40 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $132 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?Economy | No | $152 | 76¢ | 65¢ | -$23 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by September 30?Tech | No | $126 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $133 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$5 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | No | $154 | 77¢ | 64¢ | -$26 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?Tech | No | $107 | 67¢ | 80¢ | +$20 |
 Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $132 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$5 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Politics | No | $140 | 70¢ | 63¢ | -$13 |
 Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $162 | 81¢ | 63¢ | -$37 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Politics | Yes | $105 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$20 |
 Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Politics | No | $116 | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$8 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $110 | 69¢ | 77¢ | +$13 |
 Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?Culture | Yes | $96 | 60¢ | 76¢ | +$26 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $125 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$4 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?Culture | No | $110 | 69¢ | 76¢ | +$10 |
 Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $109 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $113 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$6 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $88 | 55¢ | 72¢ | +$27 |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $156 | 78¢ | 57¢ | -$42 |
 Will Bill Tierney win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?Other sports | No | $116 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$3 |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | No | $116 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Politics | No | $108 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | No | $136 | 68¢ | 56¢ | -$23 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $154 | 77¢ | 56¢ | -$41 |
 Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $117 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$5 |
 Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Politics | No | $104 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$8 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $91 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | Yes | $105 | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$6 |
 Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics | Yes | $111 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $95 | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$14 |
 Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Politics | Yes | $116 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $113 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$4 |
 Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics | No | $105 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $110 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $110 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Politics | Yes | $90 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$16 |
 Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?UFC / MMA | No | $97 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$8 |
| Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $120 | 79¢ | 70¢ | -$14 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $101 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$5 |
 Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $98 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$7 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $74 | 48¢ | 68¢ | +$30 |
 Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$4 |
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $105 | 70¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $108 | 72¢ | 70¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | Yes | $96 | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$8 |
Bought No · Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?$161h ago
Bought Yes · Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?$525h ago
Sold No · Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?$1496h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will 100 Thieves Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?$08h ago
Cashed out No · Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?$08h ago
Cashed out No · Will Sabina Matos be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?$08h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?$08h ago