← Whale Watch

Dapsy

Predicting since Aug 20253,470 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $28K on Crypto markets since Aug 2025.

Right now: $2.2K riding on Clacton by-election: 2nd place.

Biggest hit: +$4.4K on Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$2.2K73¢77¢+$105
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K85¢81¢-$67
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$67284¢100¢+$127
Clavicular sentenced to prison?CultureNo$56488¢87¢-$6
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$51686¢85¢-$9
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$44088¢99¢+$57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$43086¢92¢+$28
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?PoliticsNo$43586¢85¢-$8
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$32481¢99¢+$71
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$36892¢93¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?PoliticsNo$39582¢76¢-$31
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechNo$35689¢89¢-$2
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$33688¢88¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?PoliticsNo$33684¢82¢-$8
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$26683¢99¢+$49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$34486¢77¢-$38
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?PoliticsYes$34887¢76¢-$46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceNo$22575¢100¢+$74
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?PoliticsYes$18963¢98¢+$106
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?PoliticsYes$27391¢98¢+$22
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$26488¢92¢+$11
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherNo$27586¢86¢-$2
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$25567¢70¢+$12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$30877¢66¢-$46
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$24983¢87¢+$12
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25883¢84¢+$2
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$25083¢86¢+$7
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$29273¢63¢-$40
Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18361¢83¢+$66
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsNo$22575¢80¢+$14
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$22887¢87¢-$1
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?CultureNo$25680¢69¢-$37
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechNo$15477¢100¢+$46
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%?PoliticsNo$15477¢100¢+$45
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?PoliticsYes$15879¢99¢+$40
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$16482¢99¢+$34
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$16884¢99¢+$30
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?FinanceNo$16482¢99¢+$34
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$14271¢99¢+$56
Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by less than 5%?PoliticsNo$15678¢99¢+$42
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?PoliticsNo$12663¢98¢+$70
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechNo$9045¢97¢+$105
Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$17487¢95¢+$16
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?PoliticsYes$17085¢95¢+$20
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$19866¢63¢-$11
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$15477¢92¢+$30
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$18087¢89¢+$3
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$18361¢61¢-$2
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?PoliticsNo$17085¢91¢+$11
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17286¢89¢+$5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?CultureNo$15075¢88¢+$25
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16281¢88¢+$13
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15879¢88¢+$17
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$16281¢87¢+$12
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$16281¢87¢+$11
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$17085¢86¢+$2
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$15360¢68¢+$19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$15678¢85¢+$13
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$17053¢53¢-$2
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16482¢84¢+$3
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsYes$18658¢52¢-$21
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$17386¢82¢-$8
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16281¢82¢+$2
Will CBOE (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16281¢81¢-$1
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$13266¢80¢+$28
Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16683¢80¢-$7
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?EconomyNo$10465¢99¢+$55
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16884¢77¢-$14
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYes$10666¢96¢+$48
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?TechYes$10767¢96¢+$46
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$17487¢77¢-$21
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$11859¢76¢+$34
Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16482¢76¢-$12
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by July 31?FinanceNo$11573¢96¢+$37
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?FinanceNo$15477¢75¢-$4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNo$16683¢75¢-$16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$13065¢74¢+$19
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$15094¢93¢-$2
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechNo$14472¢73¢+$2
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoNo$16683¢73¢-$21
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$14472¢71¢-$2
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsYes$15351¢47¢-$14
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$16482¢69¢-$25
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$13987¢87¢-$1
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?CultureYes$13383¢87¢+$6
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?FinanceNo$10264¢86¢+$35
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$13987¢84¢-$5
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsNo$8352¢84¢+$50
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$15477¢66¢-$22
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$14289¢82¢-$11
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$9157¢82¢+$40
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?FinanceYes$14874¢66¢-$17
Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$13383¢81¢-$2
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$16281¢64¢-$34
Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$12578¢79¢+$1
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$11874¢78¢+$6
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?PoliticsNo$12462¢62¢+$0
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$15477¢62¢-$30
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$12261¢62¢+$1
Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$13886¢77¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$28K
Politics-$18K
Other sports+$3.7K
Culture+$3.1K
Tech+$3.1K
Weather-$3.1K
Finance-$2.5K
Mentions-$1.1K
Olympics+$492
NFL-$159
MLS-$116
World Cup-$110
Biggest hit
+$4.4K
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Toughest beat
-$27K
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$321m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$735m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$3559m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$71h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$71h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$101h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$144h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$74h ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?$85h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?$116h ago
  • Bought No · Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?$148h ago
  • Bought No · Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?$1308h ago