 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | No | $151 | 13¢ | 88¢ | +$877 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $185 | 18¢ | 89¢ | +$744 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $196 | 24¢ | 91¢ | +$548 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $184 | 23¢ | 92¢ | +$552 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $128 | 16¢ | 92¢ | +$604 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $224 | 28¢ | 89¢ | +$483 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $240 | 29¢ | 80¢ | +$421 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $110 | 15¢ | 71¢ | +$405 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?Politics | No | $202 | 39¢ | 98¢ | +$306 |
 Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $240 | 34¢ | 68¢ | +$236 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $411 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$64 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $93 | 13¢ | 66¢ | +$374 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Politics | No | $140 | 24¢ | 76¢ | +$303 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Crypto | No | $136 | 17¢ | 49¢ | +$252 |
 Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $152 | 19¢ | 43¢ | +$188 |
 Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Politics | No | $148 | 35¢ | 80¢ | +$191 |
 Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $166 | 14¢ | 28¢ | +$161 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $20 | 5.1¢ | 84¢ | +$307 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $265 | 33¢ | 40¢ | +$59 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 6.8¢ | 35¢ | +$258 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $133 | 41¢ | 97¢ | +$179 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 4.0¢ | 93¢ | +$296 |
 Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $103 | 31¢ | 93¢ | +$203 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $16 | 4.6¢ | 87¢ | +$288 |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $122 | 39¢ | 94¢ | +$170 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 3.0¢ | 35¢ | +$266 |
 Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $290 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$3 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Politics | Yes | $129 | 43¢ | 92¢ | +$147 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 39¢ | 98¢ | +$164 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $134 | 15¢ | 30¢ | +$132 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $168 | 60¢ | 95¢ | +$97 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $255 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $136 | 15¢ | 28¢ | +$127 |
 Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?Politics | No | $26 | 9.0¢ | 92¢ | +$236 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $38 | 9.2¢ | 64¢ | +$224 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $253 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?Politics | No | $109 | 36¢ | 87¢ | +$151 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $106 | 22¢ | 54¢ | +$152 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $216 | 75¢ | 89¢ | +$37 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $213 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$40 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $240 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $164 | 64¢ | 98¢ | +$85 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $134 | 15¢ | 28¢ | +$114 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $193 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$51 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $193 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$51 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $210 | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $238 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?MLB | Yes | $2 | 0.9¢ | 88¢ | +$238 |
 Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?MLB | No | $13 | 5.4¢ | 100¢ | +$226 |
 Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $75 | 21¢ | 67¢ | +$163 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $227 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 14¢ | 66¢ | +$184 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $215 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$14 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $92 | 28¢ | 70¢ | +$138 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Tech | No | $159 | 60¢ | 86¢ | +$70 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $199 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$29 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $144 | 55¢ | 87¢ | +$83 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $142 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$84 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $45 | 17¢ | 86¢ | +$181 |
 Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHL | No | $10 | 4.0¢ | 90¢ | +$214 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $218 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $196 | 71¢ | 79¢ | +$21 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Politics | No | $197 | 66¢ | 72¢ | +$18 |
 Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $203 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $27 | 11¢ | 85¢ | +$182 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $43 | 17¢ | 79¢ | +$160 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $215 | 72¢ | 68¢ | -$13 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $188 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$13 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $220 | 82¢ | 75¢ | -$19 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $59 | 27¢ | 92¢ | +$141 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $152 | 53¢ | 70¢ | +$48 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $207 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$9 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $197 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $175 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$20 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $194 | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | No | $74 | 19¢ | 50¢ | +$121 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $178 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$16 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $161 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$33 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $87 | 36¢ | 80¢ | +$107 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $200 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$6 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 38¢ | 68¢ | +$83 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $178 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $174 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | No | $168 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$19 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $172 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $141 | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$44 |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Politics | No | $158 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$27 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics | No | $88 | 40¢ | 84¢ | +$96 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?Tech | No | $169 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $178 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 song this week?Culture | Yes | $162 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$21 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $154 | 57¢ | 68¢ | +$28 |
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $167 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$15 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $173 | 61¢ | 65¢ | +$10 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics | No | $86 | 28¢ | 57¢ | +$92 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 6.3¢ | 62¢ | +$160 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $188 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$11 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $171 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$6 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $170 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $119 | 56¢ | 82¢ | +$55 |
Bought No · Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?$552m ago
MERGE Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 12?$102m ago
MERGE Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$403m ago
Bought Yes · Will Viking reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?$03m ago
Bought Yes · Will Blake Lively be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$03m ago
Bought Yes · Will Jessie Buckley be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$03m ago
Bought Yes · Will Sarah Pidgeon be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$03m ago
Bought No · Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$183m ago