← Belugo Whale Watch

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
$500K volumeYes 36¢No 64¢
Sharp lean: 94% Yes6% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
36¢- 1
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder$2.7K - 20x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934$598
- 3
ArmageddonRewardsBillySharp$499 - 40x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262$230
- 5
DEGENKHAN$183 - 6varch01$180
- 7
LornaPredicts$173 - 8donthackmeSharp$141
- 9warptrading$113
- 10plsnolose$77
- 11VictorPham5386$58
- 12
dpndv2$51 - 13haruk098$49
- 14wtfsss$47
- 15gotonetry33$40
- 16xiaodouzi$36
- 17aHjCz$33
- 18megadarkparticle$32
- 19cocomellon247mp$32
- 20xiaoaojiang$25
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
64¢- 10xa5ef…2966$7.1K
- 2EdwardBryant6165$1.2K
- 3ElizabethCohen6789$871
- 4
zk1984$128
- 5tttt123$128
- 65atka$116
- 7USSHalf-Kelly$82
- 8rsr$64
- 9JenniferScott1796$60
- 10daroghiSharp$38
- 11
Avitz33$32 - 12John-Riley$32
- 13bayc4303$28
- 14supergauss$22
- 15Italiancabin$17
- 16pootytherewardfarmer$15
- 1765740233yu7$13
- 18tradebtc$10
- 190x65165432cC0ce687b28a5Cd3c8993D1a1Aa57B7C-1769239131288$10
- 20bluetower$9
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $3,652 on Yes @ 50¢
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder4mo ago - $1,214 out of Yes @ 12¢ImHereForTheRewards4mo ago
- $1,666 on Yes @ 52¢
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder5mo ago - $1,245 out of Yes @ 55¢
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder5mo ago - $1,618 on No @ 67¢nrod806mo ago
- $1,655 on No @ 62¢da66ers6mo ago
- $1,206 on No @ 62¢goiasec6mo ago
- $15,312 out of No @ 62¢roumodoujiao7mo ago
- $32,140 out of No @ 62¢dalaohu7mo ago
- $15,558 on No @ 63¢roumodoujiao7mo ago
- $32,659 on No @ 63¢dalaohu7mo ago