← Belugo Whale Watch

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
$500K volumeYes 39¢No 61¢
Sharp lean: 95% Yes5% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
39¢- 1
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder$2.9K - 20x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934$647
- 3
ArmageddonRewardsBillySharp$540 - 40x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262$250
- 5
DEGENKHAN$198 - 6varch01$195
- 7
LornaPredicts$188 - 8donthackmeSharp$153
- 9warptrading$122
- 10plsnolose$84
- 11VictorPham5386$63
- 12
dpndv2$56 - 13haruk098$53
- 14wtfsss$51
- 15gotonetry33$43
- 16xiaodouzi$39
- 17aHjCz$36
- 18megadarkparticle$35
- 19cocomellon247mp$35
- 20xiaoaojiang$27
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
61¢- 10xa5ef…2966$6.7K
- 2EdwardBryant6165$1.1K
- 3ElizabethCohen6789$830
- 4
zk1984$122
- 5tttt123$122
- 65atka$111
- 7USSHalf-Kelly$78
- 8rsr$61
- 9JenniferScott1796$57
- 10daroghiSharp$37
- 11
Avitz33$31 - 12John-Riley$31
- 13bayc4303$27
- 14supergauss$21
- 15AJSV$18
- 16Italiancabin$16
- 17pootytherewardfarmer$15
- 1865740233yu7$13
- 19tradebtc$10
- 200x65165432cC0ce687b28a5Cd3c8993D1a1Aa57B7C-1769239131288$9
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $3,652 on Yes @ 50¢
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder4mo ago - $1,214 out of Yes @ 12¢ImHereForTheRewards4mo ago
- $1,666 on Yes @ 52¢
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder5mo ago - $1,245 out of Yes @ 55¢
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder5mo ago - $1,618 on No @ 67¢nrod806mo ago
- $1,655 on No @ 62¢da66ers6mo ago
- $1,206 on No @ 62¢goiasec6mo ago
- $15,312 out of No @ 62¢roumodoujiao7mo ago
- $32,140 out of No @ 62¢dalaohu7mo ago
- $15,558 on No @ 63¢roumodoujiao7mo ago
- $32,659 on No @ 63¢dalaohu7mo ago