Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1.3K |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 69¢ | +$1.1K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 80¢ | +$474 |
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$405 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 21¢ | +$340 |
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$165 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 64¢ | +$156 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$140 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 79¢ | +$130 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 19¢ | +$114 |
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 47¢ | +$75 |
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 |
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.2¢ | +$70 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 21¢ | +$51 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 |
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 89¢ | +$49 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 28¢ | +$42 |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 26¢ | +$42 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 81¢ | +$41 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 16¢ | +$39 |
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 55¢ | +$39 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 25¢ | +$38 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 25¢ | +$37 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 20¢ | +$32 |
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 |
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 34¢ | +$24 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 13¢ | +$20 |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 10¢ | +$16 |
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.9¢ | +$16 |
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.9¢ | +$15 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$14 |
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 50¢ | +$13 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$12 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 23¢ | +$10 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 5.2¢ | +$8 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 16¢ | +$7 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 16¢ | +$7 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 15¢ | +$7 |
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 9.3¢ | +$6 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 34¢ | +$6 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 30¢ | +$6 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 12¢ | +$5 |
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-05-08?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 18¢ | +$4 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.4¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 15¢ | +$4 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.7¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.3¢ | +$4 |
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$3 |
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.8¢ | +$3 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.9¢ | +$3 |
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.7¢ | +$3 |
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 5.0¢ | +$3 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.4¢ | +$3 |
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.1¢ | +$2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.6¢ | +$2 |
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.3¢ | +$2 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 5.2¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.4¢ | +$2 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.6¢ | +$2 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.1¢ | +$2 |
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$2 |
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 3.3¢ | +$2 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.8¢ | +$2 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 7.9¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$1 |
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.7¢ | +$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.8¢ | +$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.8¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Le Havre AC leading at halftime?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |