Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$265 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $846 | 51¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $462 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$128 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $567 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$14 |
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $304 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$101 |
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 7.2¢ | 100¢ | +$153 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 2.8¢ | 100¢ | +$136 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $78 | 32¢ | 55¢ | +$55 |
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $20 | 1.2¢ | 6.8¢ | +$93 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $78 | 47¢ | 66¢ | +$31 |
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$73 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $48 | 30¢ | 50¢ | +$31 |
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 5.9¢ | 100¢ | +$71 |
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $63 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $89 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$24 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 5.1¢ | 42¢ | +$55 |
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 34¢ | 82¢ | +$34 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$27 |
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $36 | 65¢ | 89¢ | +$13 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $75 | 4.5¢ | 2.9¢ | -$27 |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $38 | 24¢ | 30¢ | +$10 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $34 | 68¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $63 | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$20 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.1¢ | 24¢ | +$33 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $7 | 16¢ | 74¢ | +$26 |
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $28 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.1¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $37 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$17 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$11 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.9¢ | 8.3¢ | +$7 |
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $8 | 30¢ | 54¢ | +$6 |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $21 | 13¢ | 7.2¢ | -$10 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 35¢ | 7.4¢ | -$41 |
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | +$5 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 21¢ | 61¢ | +$6 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 34¢ | 13¢ | -$15 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 43¢ | +$4 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.6¢ | 5.1¢ | +$4 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 40¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 15¢ | 4.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-05-08?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $3 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 2.5¢ | 6.6¢ | +$3 |
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $3 | 63¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | Yes | $8 | 31¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.9¢ | 25¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.0¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 7.5¢ | 5.2¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 1.7¢ | -$1 |
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 4.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 45¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 10.0¢ | 3.3¢ | -$3 |
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 2.9¢ | 2.8¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 5.4¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 4.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$6 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$0 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.4¢ | 5.9¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 3.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $16 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Le Havre AC leading at halftime?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $16 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will SK Poltava win on 2026-05-10?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?Culture | YesResolved | $12 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |