Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.

Recent big trades here

• $1,216 out of No @ 90¢Llotterypg814mo ago
• $1,255 out of No @ 90¢Ggauge-repeat4mo ago
• $1,072 out of No @ 90¢DDonkeyct204mo ago
• $1,070 on No @ 90¢DDonkeyct204mo ago
• $1,252 on No @ 90¢Ggauge-repeat4mo ago
• $1,236 out of No @ 90¢RroughOther4mo ago
• $1,222 out of No @ 90¢Llaw-tower4mo ago
• $1,236 on No @ 90¢RroughOther4mo ago
• $1,163 out of No @ 90¢JJuice-Chase-Bid4mo ago
• $1,058 on No @ 90¢Oolympic-charge4mo ago
• $1,047 on No @ 90¢Bbuzz-demand4mo ago
• $1,538 out of No @ 90¢Eendzt584mo ago
• $1,007 out of No @ 90¢VversionCrime4mo ago
• $1,004 on No @ 90¢VversionCrime4mo ago
• $1,070 out of No @ 90¢Ssummer90574mo ago
• $1,119 out of No @ 90¢Iinsect-flush-coyote4mo ago
• $1,028 out of No @ 90¢AAssume98534mo ago
• $1,072 on No @ 90¢Ssummer90574mo ago
• $1,253 out of No @ 90¢Cchimney-patrol4mo ago
• $1,150 out of No @ 90¢Hhost-attitude4mo ago