← Whale Watch

OkaneKasegu

Predicting since Dec 2024702 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $29K across 20 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$20K on California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$13K50¢80¢+$7.6K
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$5.1K77¢77¢-$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$13K50¢20¢-$7.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.3K75¢92¢+$728
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.3K81¢96¢+$566
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$3.0K49¢56¢+$419
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3.0K99¢98¢-$26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$2.6K64¢66¢+$60
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$2.0K83¢97¢+$330
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2.6K73¢56¢-$595
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K42¢50¢+$232
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$53726¢65¢+$810
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$99157¢56¢-$9
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$79083¢87¢+$38
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$70158¢57¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$28113¢27¢+$299
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4129.6¢12¢+$123
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1102.2¢8.8¢+$332
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$44644¢43¢-$10
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$44044¢43¢-$15
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$60060¢37¢-$230
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$35498¢99¢+$5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$823.6¢16¢+$276
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$20197¢99¢+$3
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$13129¢45¢+$70
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$58029¢7.5¢-$430
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$20712¢7.9¢-$71
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$11574¢85¢+$17
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$8773¢97¢+$29
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$10498¢99¢+$2
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$266.7¢28¢+$79
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$21010¢5.1¢-$107
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1286.4¢5.1¢-$26
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$102.6¢27¢+$91
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$9898¢99¢+$1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$603.0¢4.9¢+$37
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7860¢59¢-$2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1114.0¢2.6¢-$39
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1535.2¢2.4¢-$84
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$1909.5¢3.4¢-$123
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$301.0¢2.1¢+$34
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$903.0¢1.6¢-$44
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?PoliticsYes$606.0¢3.8¢-$22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3857¢56¢-$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$373.0¢2.9¢-$1
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? PoliticsYes$24118¢2.1¢-$214
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2142¢52¢+$5
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoYes$10020¢5.1¢-$75
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$270.8¢0.7¢-$4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$451.5¢0.7¢-$25
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$752.5¢0.5¢-$59
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$190.8¢0.7¢-$3
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$331.4¢0.5¢-$20
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$241.0¢0.5¢-$11
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$301.0¢0.4¢-$20
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$220.8¢0.4¢-$13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$53.1¢5.2¢+$3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$421.4¢0.3¢-$34
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$291.8¢0.4¢-$23
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$101.0¢0.5¢-$5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$211.0¢0.3¢-$16
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$331.1¢0.1¢-$28
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$110.9¢0.4¢-$7
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$61.1¢0.8¢-$2
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$111.0¢0.4¢-$7
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$93.9¢1.6¢-$5
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$41.3¢0.5¢-$2
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$42585¢0.0¢-$425
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?TechYesResolved$11969¢0.0¢-$119
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevTennisZverevResolved$4517¢0.0¢-$45
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13612¢0.0¢-$136
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$500.2¢0.0¢-$50
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$11011¢0.0¢-$110
Will Solana dip to $140 in July?CryptoYesResolved$15531¢0.0¢-$155
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?TechYesResolved$355.7¢0.0¢-$35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.2K56¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$372.8¢0.0¢-$37
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?PoliticsYesResolved$26645¢0.0¢-$266
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.003 before August?CryptoNoResolved$42463¢0.0¢-$424
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?TechYesResolved$23046¢0.0¢-$230
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? TechNoResolved$643¢0.0¢-$6
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1023.4¢0.0¢-$102
Will Graham Platner drop out of Maine Senate race by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2256.4¢0.0¢-$225
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$68034¢0.0¢-$680
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$26734¢0.0¢-$267
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$15424¢0.0¢-$154
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$57019¢0.0¢-$570
Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?PoliticsYesResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$12126¢0.0¢-$121
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$402.0¢0.0¢-$40
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1634.3¢0.0¢-$163
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K79¢0.0¢-$1.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$26026¢0.0¢-$260
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$26013¢0.0¢-$260
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$29029¢0.0¢-$290
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?PoliticsYesResolved$24024¢0.0¢-$240
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$722.4¢0.0¢-$72
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?FinanceUpResolved$1206.0¢0.0¢-$120
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70118¢0.0¢-$701
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$1005.0¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$10K
Economy+$3.8K
Crypto-$3.1K
Tech-$2.0K
Culture+$1.9K
Mentions+$1.2K
World Cup+$717
NBA+$650
Other sports+$570
NFL+$512
Tennis+$508
Other+$493
Biggest hit
+$20K
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Toughest beat
-$20K
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.3K2d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$616d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$616d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$1868d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$128d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?$158d ago