← Belugo Whale Watch

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
$444K volumeYes 47¢No 53¢
Sharp lean: 94% Yes6% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
47¢- 1hippoka$2.5K
- 2
DancewithRisk$1.9K - 3ratehikesSharp$1.3K
- 40xeBABa6D3C08C5FfF3d444cE0F751E6D97F15CFf5-1779341123078$941
- 5podairpod$918
- 6
akimbogod$559 - 70xf52b…bdf5$493
- 8tinman2$448
- 9bomzh.kolyadun$375
- 100x1D36756fbAAED1433bF59c80b105396513d82A3b-1771747868231$331
- 11
Deadheadbucky$307 - 12TENETENET$235
- 13cry.eth2$222
- 14howesr1970$188
- 15JotaFoward$183
- 16OkaneKasegu$179
- 17tradingwhat$166
- 18
2B9S$146 - 190x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934$71
- 20Elias.Thornwell$50
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
53¢- 10xa5ef…2966$13K
- 2
Bobothebear$137 - 3Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed$86
- 4BikesarethebestSharp$76
- 588mnm88$58
- 6AJSV$46
- 7michaelmunoz$44
- 8GTOrski1$40
- 9immanuelcan$38
- 10HettieKali30120$38
- 11andreacarter$37
- 12
Ahpo$30 - 13gamerdad.82$28
- 14Alla-h$27
- 15kellwill$27
- 16roserowerbrrr$27
- 17riplteams$26
- 18tugoserya$26
- 19hueplet228$26
- 20hohorga$24
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,004 out of No @ 53¢most810d ago
- $1,067 on Yes @ 40¢
DancewithRisk14d ago - $1,619 out of No @ 98¢coastld486mo ago
- $1,083 on No @ 98¢Storyimprove6mo ago
- $1,283 on No @ 98¢Glare78796mo ago
- $1,619 on No @ 98¢coastld486mo ago
- $1,188 out of No @ 98¢trapActual6mo ago
- $1,087 out of No @ 97¢sustain-shock6mo ago
- $1,693 out of No @ 97¢choice096mo ago
- $1,660 out of No @ 97¢lawHero6mo ago
- $2,024 out of No @ 97¢choice096mo ago
- $1,765 out of No @ 97¢disease-what6mo ago
- $1,458 on No @ 97¢Bronzebase6mo ago
- $1,588 on No @ 97¢disease-what6mo ago
- $1,351 on No @ 97¢anxietylx336mo ago
- $1,243 out of No @ 97¢networkdx826mo ago
- $1,175 out of No @ 97¢Turtlebuddy6mo ago
- $1,326 out of No @ 97¢quiz-hope6mo ago
- $1,049 out of No @ 97¢openGossip6mo ago
- $1,234 out of No @ 97¢sign50146mo ago