ratehikes

Predicting since May 202624 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $134K on Politics markets since May 2026.

Right now: $198K riding on Fed Decision in September?.

Biggest hit: +$43K on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$198K	35¢	80¢	+$256K
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy	Yes	$97K	47¢	87¢	+$83K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$24K	61¢	93¢	+$13K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy	Yes	$9.0K	54¢	79¢	+$4.1K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$863	18¢	43¢	+$1.2K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$493	11¢	37¢	+$1.2K
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics	Yes	$818	24¢	40¢	+$584
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics	No	$694	56¢	94¢	+$465
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$173	4.9¢	11¢	+$225
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$234	30¢	38¢	+$59
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$204	55¢	5.9¢	-$182
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy	No	$2	67¢	94¢	+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$126K	21¢	0.0¢	-$126K
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$2.4K	11¢	0.0¢	-$2.4K

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$134K

Economy+$97K

Crypto+$114

Biggest hit

+$43K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$13K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Sold Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$42d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$112d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$302d ago
CONVERSION Fed Decision in September?$02d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4122d ago
Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2.5K2d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$5.0K2d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$502d ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$3122d ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$2172d ago
Bought Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$2392d ago