← Whale Watch

podairpod

Predicting since Dec 2024693 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $16K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $8.5K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$5.8K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$8.5K81¢82¢+$110
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$5.7K70¢85¢+$1.2K
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.8K72¢85¢+$675
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$2.2K74¢88¢+$398
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K54¢76¢+$644
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$1.6K84¢92¢+$156
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K82¢94¢+$191
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?EconomyNo$1.1K75¢93¢+$258
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$1.1K97¢99¢+$21
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$63547¢66¢+$241
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$67484¢89¢+$36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$52872¢88¢+$118
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$40486¢93¢+$34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$65666¢42¢-$246
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?EconomyYes$33634¢40¢+$50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?OtherYes$33784¢93¢+$34
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$42346¢36¢-$96
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?EconomyYes$30734¢31¢-$25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyNo$27084¢88¢+$10
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$31538¢28¢-$89
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyNo$26175¢65¢-$37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$25030¢25¢-$45
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$17685¢92¢+$13
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$8016¢21¢+$25
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?EconomyNo$8288¢96¢+$7
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3413¢23¢+$25
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?EconomyYes$199.5¢12¢+$5
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?PoliticsYes$4415¢5.5¢-$28
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?EconomyNo$688¢88¢-$0
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?EconomyYesResolved$26181¢0.0¢-$261
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?EconomyYesResolved$1319¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$16K
Economy+$7.6K
Crypto+$363
Other+$45
Finance+$11
Mentions-$4
Biggest hit
+$5.8K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$862
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$4833d ago
  • Bought Yes · No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$3583d ago
  • Bought Yes · No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$2903d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?$24d ago
  • Sold Yes · Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?$44d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$844d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$3114d ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$774d ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$24d ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$54d ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$54d ago