Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 5.7¢ | 25¢ | +$203 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 16¢ | 8.0¢ | -$20 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 15¢ | 7.1¢ | -$21 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $568 | 21¢ | 0.5¢ | -$553 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 41¢ | 12¢ | -$28 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 8.8¢ | 1.7¢ | -$32 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 40¢ | 7.0¢ | -$33 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.3¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 15?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on March 13?Weather | YesResolved | $35 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 12?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 15?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 18?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or below on March 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 13?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $24 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 21?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?Weather | NoResolved | $8 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 18?Weather | NoResolved | $24 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $24 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $38 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 12?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 20?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 15?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 12?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?Weather | NoResolved | $26 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 17?Weather | YesResolved | $38 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?Weather | YesResolved | $60 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?Weather | YesResolved | $60 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $24 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $19 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on March 21?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?Weather | NoResolved | $24 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 17?Weather | NoResolved | $24 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $60 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |