← Whale Watch

DancewithRisk

Predicting since Jun 2025217 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.5K on Crypto markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $6.0K across 4 Economy markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.3K on Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$3.7K30¢32¢+$251
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$2.8K40¢43¢+$178
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$2.3K30¢36¢+$499
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?TechNo$1.4K84¢94¢+$161
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.3K78¢88¢+$164
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$1.7K52¢44¢-$252
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?FinanceNo$99186¢87¢+$7
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?FinanceNo$93690¢90¢+$2
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$71737¢39¢+$34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$66240¢42¢+$25
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?FinanceNo$47674¢66¢-$47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$32281¢84¢+$9
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$28615¢15¢+$8
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?TechNo$29361¢56¢-$22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechNo$1408.0¢13¢+$88
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$18778¢91¢+$31
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18126¢26¢-$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?TechYes$16916¢16¢+$7
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$9915¢17¢+$10
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?CryptoNo$8686¢90¢+$4
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$7611¢12¢+$5
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?TechNo$8754¢49¢-$8
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$6960¢67¢+$8
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?FinanceNo$7362¢57¢-$6
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?FinanceNo$6576¢78¢+$1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$4814¢19¢+$18
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?FinanceNo$5592¢94¢+$1
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?TechNo$2856¢50¢-$3
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$80.9¢2.8¢+$15
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?FinanceNo$2278¢81¢+$1
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?CryptoNo$2098¢99¢+$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$2013¢13¢-$1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$1444¢43¢-$0
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$91.7¢1.9¢+$1
California Recall Election Reform PropositionPoliticsYes$1048¢42¢-$1
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$621¢28¢+$2
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?TechNo$785¢88¢+$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$615¢17¢+$1
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $3.6B and $4.2B at market close on IPO day?TechYes$206.0¢1.5¢-$15
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$468¢63¢-$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?FinanceYes$26.0¢6.5¢+$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?TechNo$2654¢4.3¢-$24
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?FinanceYes$120¢26¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$7.5K
Economy+$4.6K
Tech+$3.1K
Politics+$2.1K
Finance+$1.7K
Weather-$812
Biggest hit
+$3.3K
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$3.5K
Ethereum all time high before 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$44825m ago
  • Sold No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$21h ago
  • Bought No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$11h ago
  • Sold No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$71h ago
  • Sold No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$701h ago
  • Bought No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$751h ago
  • Bought No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$782h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$92h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$1962h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$842h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$8912h ago
  • Bought No · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$792h ago