Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $139 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $147 | 98¢ | 95¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $125 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $122 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $117 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $103 | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$12 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $108 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $99 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$6 |
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $93 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $91 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $131 | 88¢ | 57¢ | -$46 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 97¢ | 76¢ | -$24 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $119 | 80¢ | 56¢ | -$36 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 94¢ | 72¢ | -$18 |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $48 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $49 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $49 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | No | $47 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $49 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $131 | 88¢ | 31¢ | -$85 |
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 17¢ | 27¢ | +$15 |
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $37 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?eSports | No | $39 | 95¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | No | $35 | 96¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | No | $37 | 93¢ | 84¢ | -$3 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $136 | 91¢ | 21¢ | -$104 |
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $119 | 80¢ | 21¢ | -$89 |
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $114 | 76¢ | 20¢ | -$85 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $74 | 74¢ | 29¢ | -$45 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 86¢ | 18¢ | -$103 |
Discord IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $64 | 90¢ | 35¢ | -$39 |
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | No | $21 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 34¢ | 14¢ | -$30 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $38 | 85¢ | 48¢ | -$17 |
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $21 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $83 | 83¢ | 18¢ | -$65 |
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 9.3¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $19 | 97¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $14 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | No | $14 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?NFL | No | $34 | 38¢ | 15¢ | -$21 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $98 | 65¢ | 7.7¢ | -$86 |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $10 | 95¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $8 | 97¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-20 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 8.5¢ | 6.3¢ | -$2 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $19 | 20¢ | 6.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 51¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 6.4¢ | -$3 |
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $5 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $4 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 9.4¢ | 3.1¢ | -$9 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Politics | No | $3 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Politics | No | $3 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $4 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $5 | 97¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $4 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $3 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $3 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Human moon landing in 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $3 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 50¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $2 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $77 | 83¢ | 2.5¢ | -$75 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 73¢ | 10¢ | -$15 |
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Brex IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $17 | 12¢ | 1.4¢ | -$15 |
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $2 | 93¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $3 | 89¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
China coup attempt before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.6¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 3.9¢ | +$1 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.8¢ | 3.3¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $2 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | No | $1 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.9¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 52¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
Will Savannah Louie be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (March 1)Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above $590?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 26?Finance | UpResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |