← Whale Watch

Bikesarethebest

Predicting since Jun 20257,333 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $12K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $5.6K across 9 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$7.7K on Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3.8K67¢73¢+$351
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2.7K91¢99¢+$231
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$2.5K96¢97¢+$14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K72¢89¢+$376
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1.9K95¢97¢+$52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.7K70¢75¢+$106
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$1.6K96¢98¢+$29
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K98¢99¢+$18
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$1.4K96¢96¢-$6
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$1.1K70¢90¢+$296
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.3K88¢90¢+$24
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$1.4K81¢77¢-$79
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$1.3K97¢97¢+$9
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.1K90¢97¢+$89
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K95¢96¢+$17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.1K94¢93¢-$6
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$1.1K97¢99¢+$23
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.0K93¢98¢+$51
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$1.1K96¢97¢+$15
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$1.0K96¢98¢+$31
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$85174¢89¢+$169
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$96587¢91¢+$39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$88785¢86¢+$9
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$87797¢99¢+$16
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$88494¢95¢+$9
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$84395¢96¢+$5
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$80285¢88¢+$25
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$78692¢94¢+$12
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$77294¢96¢+$15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$78797¢96¢-$5
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$55654¢76¢+$225
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$75486¢89¢+$25
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$74292¢94¢+$18
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?TechNo$72786¢88¢+$19
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$74097¢98¢+$3
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$69689¢91¢+$15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$343.1¢63¢+$654
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLNo$68691¢91¢+$2
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$67894¢95¢+$9
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$58944¢49¢+$66
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$63494¢97¢+$19
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$61197¢98¢+$7
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$50371¢86¢+$103
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?PoliticsNo$45967¢89¢+$146
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$56292¢96¢+$27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$60359¢57¢-$16
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$43561¢79¢+$124
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$26643¢89¢+$277
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$49891¢95¢+$24
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$42961¢74¢+$88
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$33562¢94¢+$173
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechYes$41978¢93¢+$80
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$59034¢28¢-$108
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$47297¢98¢+$4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$48976¢72¢-$27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$25436¢65¢+$205
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$43794¢99¢+$22
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$43248¢50¢+$15
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$15620¢56¢+$274
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$49322¢20¢-$65
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$40293¢95¢+$9
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$42571¢67¢-$26
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$351.1¢12¢+$322
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$35663¢62¢-$5
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$25147¢66¢+$98
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$72126¢13¢-$375
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$31892¢100¢+$26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$33096¢99¢+$10
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$23869¢97¢+$98
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$31995¢99¢+$16
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$33389¢89¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$31594¢97¢+$11
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$31997¢97¢+$2
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$30895¢99¢+$12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$24066¢88¢+$79
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$16148¢95¢+$154
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$26865¢76¢+$44
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$31532¢31¢-$3
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$29695¢100¢+$13
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$15741¢79¢+$150
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?PoliticsNo$29194¢98¢+$13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$39281¢62¢-$89
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$28889¢93¢+$13
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$24677¢93¢+$51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$26974¢82¢+$27
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$26378¢88¢+$33
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$28735¢36¢+$6
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$26849¢54¢+$22
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$11936¢87¢+$168
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$27795¢96¢+$3
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsNo$24993¢100¢+$16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$31724¢20¢-$57
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$23690¢99¢+$24
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$20877¢95¢+$50
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$25194¢96¢+$5
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$21979¢92¢+$35
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$22871¢77¢+$19
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?TechYes$50540¢19¢-$267
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$21591¢100¢+$21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoYes$39613¢7.6¢-$167

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$12K
Tech-$5.5K
Culture-$4.6K
Crypto-$3.2K
Economy-$1.2K
Weather-$702
eSports+$386
NBA-$363
Soccer (other)-$319
NHL-$269
Premier League-$255
Formula 1-$183
Biggest hit
+$7.7K
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$7.3K
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$223m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$194m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$194m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$195m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$195m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$195m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$195m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$195m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$195m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$196m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$196m ago
  • Sold No · Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$196m ago