← Whale Watch

daroghi

Predicting since Jul 202465,589 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.3K on Crypto markets since Jul 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party win the NY-20 House seat?PoliticsNo$5693¢97¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$5998¢96¢-$1
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5693¢95¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$8080¢56¢-$24
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$4984¢97¢+$7
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5896¢94¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4982¢89¢+$4
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$5295¢97¢+$1
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$5796¢88¢-$5
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?PoliticsNo$5396¢94¢-$2
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$5092¢96¢+$2
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$4579¢88¢+$5
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$5389¢81¢-$5
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$4894¢95¢+$0
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?TechNo$3863¢78¢+$9
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$5185¢71¢-$8
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$4195¢99¢+$2
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1932¢69¢+$22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5084¢69¢-$9
Negative GDP growth in 2026?EconomyNo$4094¢93¢-$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2553¢85¢+$15
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?PoliticsNo$3761¢65¢+$2
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$4169¢65¢-$3
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3691¢95¢+$1
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3777¢74¢-$1
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechYes$5592¢59¢-$20
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechYes$2135¢59¢+$14
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$3188¢94¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$3796¢86¢-$4
Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$3196¢94¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 29?WeatherNoResolved$3099¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?WeatherNoResolved$2686¢100¢+$4
Will Trump say "My Father" or "My Mother" this week? (April 27 - May 3)MentionsYesResolved$2169¢100¢+$9
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on April 22?WeatherNoResolved$30100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 29?WeatherNoResolved$3099¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?TechNo$2997¢100¢+$1
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2996¢100¢+$1
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsYes$2997¢99¢+$1
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechNo$2895¢99¢+$1
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2791¢99¢+$2
Ben Pasternak jailed?CryptoNo$2996¢99¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2998¢99¢+$0
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$2997¢99¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?PoliticsNo$2998¢99¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2998¢99¢+$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$2894¢98¢+$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$2998¢98¢+$0
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2996¢98¢+$1
Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?PoliticsNo$2892¢98¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$2895¢97¢+$1
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$2687¢97¢+$3
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$3099¢97¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?PoliticsNo$2996¢97¢+$1
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$2895¢97¢+$1
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2997¢97¢-$0
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?CryptoNo$2998¢97¢-$0
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFLNo$2996¢97¢+$0
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$2067¢97¢+$9
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?PoliticsNo$2791¢97¢+$2
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2999¢97¢-$0
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2895¢96¢+$0
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2893¢96¢+$1
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?CultureNo$2891¢94¢+$1
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?PoliticsYes$2274¢95¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?WeatherNoResolved$2586¢100¢+$4
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2583¢95¢+$4
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2995¢95¢-$0
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNo$2790¢95¢+$1
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?PoliticsNo$2997¢94¢-$1
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?CryptoNo$2791¢93¢+$1
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$2998¢93¢-$2
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsNo$2275¢93¢+$5
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2693¢99¢+$2
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?TechNo$2688¢93¢+$1
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$1932¢46¢+$8
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$2377¢92¢+$5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2997¢92¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 22?WeatherNoResolved$2799¢100¢+$0
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$2897¢94¢-$1
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsNo$2685¢91¢+$2
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$2486¢96¢+$3
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2898¢95¢-$1
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2584¢89¢+$1
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1963¢88¢+$8
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$2376¢88¢+$3
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$2481¢87¢+$2
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?TechNo$2686¢87¢+$0
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2067¢87¢+$6
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$2066¢87¢+$6
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$1554¢91¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 28?WeatherNoResolved$2076¢100¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$2789¢85¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?PoliticsNo$2274¢85¢+$3
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$2584¢84¢+$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechYes$5966¢28¢-$34
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2599¢100¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?PoliticsNo$2583¢82¢-$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1344¢81¢+$11
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$2065¢80¢+$4
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$2494¢94¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$1.3K
Mentions+$755
Weather-$556
Politics-$522
Tech-$153
Culture-$134
Soccer (other)-$124
Finance-$108
MLB-$86
NBA-$83
Economy-$82
Tennis-$79
Biggest hit
+$251
Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?
Toughest beat
-$50
Cowboys vs. Steelers

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$564d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$55d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$1210d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$3013d ago