 Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Tech | No | $421 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?Politics | Yes | $298 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $206 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$25 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Politics | No | $179 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$39 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $224 | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $176 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 26?Weather | No | $162 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 6.9¢ | 28¢ | +$110 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $137 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 27?Weather | No | $111 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $100 | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $93 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?Weather | No | $9 | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$67 |
| Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $45 | 28¢ | 44¢ | +$25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 2.4¢ | 5.2¢ | +$32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $49 | 22¢ | 26¢ | +$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?Weather | No | $32 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 27?Weather | Yes | $55 | 32¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $18 | 3.7¢ | 11¢ | +$36 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $45 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?Weather | Yes | $52 | 49¢ | 44¢ | -$6 |
| Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?Politics | No | $42 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $46 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$6 |
 Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $41 | 78¢ | 66¢ | -$7 |
 Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $83 | 34¢ | 12¢ | -$54 |
 Blue wave in 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 1.5¢ | 2.1¢ | +$7 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 10¢ | 8.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?MLB | Yes | $27 | 34¢ | 29¢ | -$4 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 2.5¢ | 3.7¢ | +$6 |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $12 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$6 |
| Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | Yes | $16 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $37 | 15¢ | 6.3¢ | -$22 |
 Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesMLB | New York Yankees | $15 | 45¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 3.7¢ | 6.4¢ | +$6 |
 Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Politics | No | $18 | 11¢ | 8.6¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 27¢ | +$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 27?Weather | No | $11 | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 1.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Politics | No | $37 | 16¢ | 4.6¢ | -$26 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 3.4¢ | 3.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 1.5¢ | 0.8¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?Politics | Yes | $8 | 4.1¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $8 | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 3.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 27?Weather | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 8.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$9 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?Politics | No | $201 | 30¢ | 1.0¢ | -$195 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | No | $6 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.7¢ | 2.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $7 | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)eSports | HOTU | $3 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 27?Weather | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 6.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$12 |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 68¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 26?Weather | No | $2 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 9.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$27 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.2¢ | 1.7¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 9.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$29 |