← Whale Watch
Ume-Chang
Up $13K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.
Right now: $11K riding on Anthropic IPO by __?.
Biggest hit: +$7.8K on US forces enter Iran by March 31?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2.4K | 26¢ | 85¢ | +$5.3K |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1.1K | 20¢ | 86¢ | +$3.6K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4.9K | 61¢ | 58¢ | -$240 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $4.1K | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$300 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $5.9K | 58¢ | 37¢ | -$2.1K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $11K | 27¢ | 6.5¢ | -$8.7K |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $268 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$50 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 5.7¢ | 28¢ | +$164 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen
Politics+$13K
Finance-$8.3K
Economy+$7.4K
Crypto+$87
Biggest hit
+$7.8K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$5.8K
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent moves
- Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$113m ago
- Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$104m ago
- Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$59m ago
- Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$19m ago
- Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$59m ago
- Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$109m ago
- Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$228m ago
- Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$528m ago
- Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$128m ago
- Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$228m ago
- Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1028m ago
- Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1133m ago