CDAP1

Predicting since Jan 202645 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $112K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $62K riding on Fed Decision in December?.

Biggest hit: +$131K on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$62K	49¢	68¢	+$23K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$15K	43¢	51¢	+$2.6K
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics	No	$692	49¢	98¢	+$681
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics	Yes	$889	25¢	32¢	+$240
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics	Yes	$708	5.4¢	5.1¢	-$37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$111	2.9¢	18¢	+$556
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy	Yes	$61	15¢	96¢	+$324
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics	Yes	$273	20¢	2.2¢	-$243
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics	Yes	$128	3.0¢	0.1¢	-$125
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy	YesResolved	$11	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$49K	16¢	0.0¢	-$49K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$478	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$478
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics	NoResolved	$15	16¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$6.6K	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$6.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$9.5K	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$9.5K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1.9K	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$1.9K
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$58	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Politics	YesResolved	$331	19¢	0.0¢	-$331
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Politics	YesResolved	$166	11¢	0.0¢	-$166
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1.6K	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5.6K	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$5.6K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy	YesResolved	$51	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$15K	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$15K
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$18	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics	NoResolved	$111	64¢	0.0¢	-$111

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$112K

Economy+$9.4K

Biggest hit

+$131K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$2.1K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$15K8h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$5.1K8h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$8.5K22h ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$4.0K1d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$7.9K4d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$05d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$05d ago
Cashed out No · Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$05d ago
Cashed out Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$15d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$2465d ago
Cashed out Yes · Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$20K5d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$211K5d ago