← Whale Watch

CDAP1

Predicting since Jan 202641 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $35K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $42K riding on Fed Decision in September?.

Biggest hit: +$22K on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$42K33¢54¢+$27K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$15K10.0¢17¢+$11K
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$13K58¢68¢+$2.3K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$6.1K44¢61¢+$2.4K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6.1K0.6¢0.7¢+$408
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$69249¢98¢+$691
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1112.9¢28¢+$940
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$7085.4¢6.3¢+$107
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$6115¢85¢+$278
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$13655¢80¢+$62
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$120.6¢2.6¢+$44
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$117.0¢18¢+$17
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$27320¢1.6¢-$251
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1283.0¢0.2¢-$119
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$4781.6¢0.0¢-$478
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$76.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1516¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$6.6K2.9¢0.0¢-$6.6K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K2.1¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$580.9¢0.0¢-$58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$33119¢0.0¢-$331
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$16611¢0.0¢-$166
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K0.8¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?EconomyYesResolved$513.5¢0.0¢-$51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$15K2.1¢0.0¢-$15K
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$10963¢0.0¢-$109

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$35K
Economy+$12K
Biggest hit
+$22K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$275h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$766h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$06h ago