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Predicting since Oct 20256,056 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $137K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $7.7K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$29K on Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.7K96¢99¢+$268
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.8K38¢43¢+$450
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K83¢85¢+$23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$83.7¢66¢+$132
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2120¢54¢+$36
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$8346¢21¢-$46
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$503.6¢1.5¢-$29
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$497.7¢2.8¢-$31
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?FinanceYes$214¢100¢+$13
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsYes$112.7¢3.3¢+$2
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$103.6¢4.3¢+$2
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12.4¢57¢+$12
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$1292¢86¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6220¢3.6¢-$51
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$1097¢99¢+$0
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$1099¢99¢-$0
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$10100¢99¢-$0
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$1099¢98¢-$0
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$9100¢100¢+$0
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$9100¢100¢-$0
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$994¢89¢-$0
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$663¢87¢+$2
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$997¢90¢-$1
Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$8100¢100¢-$0
Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$8100¢100¢+$0
Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$8100¢100¢-$0
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$8100¢100¢+$0
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$8100¢99¢-$0
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$899¢99¢-$0
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$671¢87¢+$1
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$16.7¢69¢+$7
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$8100¢100¢+$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$893¢88¢-$0
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$793¢91¢-$0
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$7100¢100¢+$0
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$778¢76¢-$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$790¢87¢-$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$317¢42¢+$4
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$7100¢100¢+$0
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$987¢65¢-$2
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$503.6¢0.4¢-$44
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLBNo$219¢52¢+$4
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$893¢69¢-$2
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$497.7¢0.9¢-$43
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢-$0
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢-$0
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$6100¢100¢-$0
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsNo$692¢95¢+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$02.3¢63¢+$5
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$579¢87¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$574¢83¢+$1
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$590¢85¢-$0
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$503.6¢0.4¢-$45
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$503.6¢0.4¢-$45
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$827.7¢0.4¢-$77
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$725¢17¢-$2
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$338¢51¢+$1
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$482¢77¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$23720¢0.4¢-$233
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechYes$3414¢1.7¢-$30
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$498¢100¢+$0
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$497¢100¢+$0
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$495¢100¢+$0
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$494¢100¢+$0
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$498¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3820¢2.0¢-$34
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$517.7¢0.5¢-$47
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢+$0
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$473.6¢0.3¢-$44
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$399¢99¢+$0
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$491¢81¢-$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$392¢97¢+$0
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$358¢69¢+$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$390¢87¢-$0
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$3100¢100¢-$0
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$399¢99¢-$0
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$396¢98¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$398¢98¢+$0
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$443¢30¢-$1
Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$395¢100¢+$0
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$397¢100¢+$0
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$398¢99¢+$0
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$267¢98¢+$1
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$399¢92¢-$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?TechNo$389¢94¢+$0
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$487.7¢0.4¢-$45
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$673.6¢0.1¢-$64
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$02.9¢56¢+$3
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$271¢85¢+$0
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$376¢70¢-$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$240¢45¢+$0
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsNo$357¢38¢-$1
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$487.7¢0.4¢-$46
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsNo$299¢100¢+$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$276¢72¢-$0
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$237¢39¢+$0
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$2100¢100¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$262¢67¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$137K
Culture-$41K
Finance-$19K
Premier League-$15K
NFL+$13K
Tennis-$12K
Tech-$10.0K
Economy-$6.7K
NBA-$2.4K
Cricket+$1.6K
World Cup-$1.0K
Weather-$905
Biggest hit
+$29K
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$20K
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$56d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?$910d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Brycen Garrison win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$516d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Stevan Gess win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$516d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$516d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$516d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$616d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$516d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$516d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$516d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$316d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Bob Brinkerhoff win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$616d ago