Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $7.7K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$268 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $3.8K | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$450 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$23 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $8 | 3.7¢ | 66¢ | +$132 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $21 | 20¢ | 54¢ | +$36 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $83 | 46¢ | 21¢ | -$46 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 1.5¢ | -$29 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $49 | 7.7¢ | 2.8¢ | -$31 |
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?Finance | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | Yes | $11 | 2.7¢ | 3.3¢ | +$2 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.6¢ | 4.3¢ | +$2 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.4¢ | 57¢ | +$12 |
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $12 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $62 | 20¢ | 3.6¢ | -$51 |
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $10 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $9 | 97¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $6 | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.7¢ | 69¢ | +$7 |
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $8 | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $7 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $7 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $7 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 42¢ | +$4 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$44 |
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLB | No | $2 | 19¢ | 52¢ | +$4 |
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $8 | 93¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $49 | 7.7¢ | 0.9¢ | -$43 |
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.3¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$45 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$45 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $82 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$77 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $7 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $3 | 38¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $4 | 82¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $237 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | -$233 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $34 | 14¢ | 1.7¢ | -$30 |
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 20¢ | 2.0¢ | -$34 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $51 | 7.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$47 |
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $47 | 3.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$44 |
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $3 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $3 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $3 | 58¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $3 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $3 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $3 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $2 | 67¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 99¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $48 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$45 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $67 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$64 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.9¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $2 | 71¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $3 | 76¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $2 | 40¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $48 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$46 |
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 76¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $2 | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $2 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |