US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $30K | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$175 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $944 | 31¢ | 42¢ | +$310 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $660 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$40 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $8 | 3.7¢ | 46¢ | +$89 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 47¢ | +$54 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $21 | 20¢ | 64¢ | +$47 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 49¢ | +$29 |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $67 | 3.6¢ | 1.1¢ | -$46 |
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $228 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | -$209 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 67¢ | +$13 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.6¢ | 4.3¢ | +$2 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 76¢ | +$10 |
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $12 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLB | No | $2 | 19¢ | 81¢ | +$7 |
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $9 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $9 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $8 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 0.6¢ | -$41 |
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $8 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $3 | 38¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $49 | 7.7¢ | 1.1¢ | -$42 |
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | No | $6 | 71¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$45 |
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $4 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 8.4¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $2 | 40¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $49 | 7.7¢ | 0.6¢ | -$45 |
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.1¢ | 44¢ | +$3 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.7¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.9¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $2 | 71¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $2 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 3.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$9 |
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.1¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $2 | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$48 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $50 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$48 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | No | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $47 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$45 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $2 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?Politics | No | $2 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump deport 800-900k people?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump deport 700-800k people?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?Politics | No | $2 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$15 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $34 | 14¢ | 0.8¢ | -$32 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | -$3 | -159.6¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $13 | 17¢ | 2.3¢ | -$12 |
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $3 | 58¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 76¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |