 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $391 | 64¢ | 96¢ | +$195 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $176 | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$171 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Economy | Yes | $239 | 65¢ | 81¢ | +$62 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $215 | 59¢ | 77¢ | +$64 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $145 | 48¢ | 84¢ | +$107 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $108 | 42¢ | 89¢ | +$118 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy | Yes | $116 | 54¢ | 92¢ | +$82 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $151 | 76¢ | 96¢ | +$40 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $163 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$27 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $68 | 36¢ | 98¢ | +$119 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $181 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $76 | 35¢ | 77¢ | +$91 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 8.3¢ | 60¢ | +$132 |
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $70 | 27¢ | 48¢ | +$53 |
 Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $102 | 29¢ | 35¢ | +$18 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $51 | 18¢ | 36¢ | +$47 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $83 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $113 | 31¢ | 23¢ | -$29 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $54 | 28¢ | 41¢ | +$26 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Economy | Yes | $43 | 51¢ | 91¢ | +$34 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 10¢ | 28¢ | +$46 |
| Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 5.2¢ | 20¢ | +$51 |
| Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 19¢ | +$65 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 95¢ | +$59 |
 Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $33 | 20¢ | 39¢ | +$32 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $43 | 36¢ | 54¢ | +$21 |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $60 | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $104 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$46 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $39 | 32¢ | 48¢ | +$18 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $22 | 19¢ | 45¢ | +$31 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $27 | 30¢ | 56¢ | +$23 |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Economy | Yes | $51 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $26 | 44¢ | 65¢ | +$12 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 18¢ | 55¢ | +$25 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 26¢ | 37¢ | +$10 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | Yes | $21 | 23¢ | 38¢ | +$13 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
| Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $58 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$25 |
| Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $31 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $115 | 45¢ | 12¢ | -$85 |
| Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 3.8¢ | 8.3¢ | +$16 |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $82 | 32¢ | 11¢ | -$55 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $27 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $47 | 67¢ | 37¢ | -$21 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $95 | 43¢ | 11¢ | -$72 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 5.6¢ | 19¢ | +$16 |
| Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 24¢ | +$11 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | Yes | $36 | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $76 | 22¢ | 6.3¢ | -$54 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $185 | 30¢ | 3.5¢ | -$164 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 38¢ | +$11 |
| Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 28¢ | 37¢ | +$5 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 10.0¢ | 21¢ | +$10 |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Economy | Yes | $37 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$19 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Economy | Yes | $23 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$5 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $21 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 68¢ | +$12 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $12 | 34¢ | 47¢ | +$5 |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?Economy | Yes | $16 | 9.9¢ | 9.8¢ | -$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | Yes | $32 | 11¢ | 5.3¢ | -$16 |
| Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $32 | 12¢ | 6.1¢ | -$16 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ | 7.3¢ | +$12 |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 8.9¢ | +$12 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $20 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$6 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ | 7.2¢ | +$10 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 24¢ | 39¢ | +$5 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Politics | Yes | $27 | 9.1¢ | 4.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 4.9¢ | 7.3¢ | +$4 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Economy | Yes | $43 | 20¢ | 5.5¢ | -$31 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 5.7¢ | 5.7¢ | -$0 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $18 | 9.0¢ | 5.3¢ | -$8 |
 Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 7.1¢ | 42¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 2.8¢ | +$9 |
 Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $58 | 16¢ | 2.6¢ | -$48 |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 37¢ | +$6 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 67¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 32¢ | 16¢ | -$9 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 6.9¢ | 7.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 17¢ | 4.4¢ | -$24 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Economy | Yes | $15 | 4.1¢ | 2.2¢ | -$7 |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 33¢ | +$5 |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $41 | 21¢ | 3.9¢ | -$33 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $16 | 66¢ | 31¢ | -$9 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 35¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $9 | 36¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Economy | Yes | $13 | 15¢ | 8.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Republicans win 4 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $16 | 6.1¢ | 2.8¢ | -$9 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 4.6¢ | 3.6¢ | -$2 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Labour Party win 50-54 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.9¢ | 1.9¢ | -$4 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 39¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?$3215d ago
Cashed out No · Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?$05d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$511d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?$12011d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?$2012d ago