← Whale Watch

DEGENKHAN

Predicting since Sep 20242,425 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $35K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $33K riding on Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$14K on Will Biden finish his term?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$33K97¢97¢-$83
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$28K92¢94¢+$320
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$25K94¢95¢+$467
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$15K96¢96¢+$25
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12K88¢91¢+$275
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$9.0K92¢96¢+$396
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsNo$8.1K91¢93¢+$158
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?TechNo$6.8K93¢95¢+$131
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?WeatherNo$6.6K91¢95¢+$270
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$5.4K87¢92¢+$279
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?CryptoNo$5.3K89¢93¢+$211
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsNo$4.5K93¢94¢+$25
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.4K95¢95¢-$37
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?CryptoNo$3.3K79¢90¢+$469
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?TechNo$3.6K94¢95¢+$54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?TechNo$3.5K95¢95¢+$16
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K94¢96¢+$36
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$1.7K26¢47¢+$1.4K
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$3.1K97¢98¢+$14
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$2.0K19¢27¢+$837
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$2.7K85¢88¢+$80
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K93¢93¢-$22
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$2.5K93¢97¢+$109
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.4K91¢92¢+$13
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K99¢100¢+$12
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.2K90¢95¢+$117
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.1K93¢95¢+$28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2.2K45¢44¢-$93
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K96¢98¢+$59
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K95¢96¢+$30
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K82¢90¢+$164
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K69¢64¢-$122
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K84¢89¢+$75
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K92¢95¢+$41
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.4K95¢97¢+$34
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K87¢83¢-$67
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?TechNo$1.2K92¢96¢+$42
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?TechYes$1.1K92¢95¢+$48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechYes$1.2K90¢87¢-$51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$1.1K94¢93¢-$9
Tom Lee charged by December 31?CryptoNo$91691¢95¢+$35
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K89¢84¢-$58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$93787¢86¢-$14
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?TechNo$84497¢98¢+$9
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?PoliticsNo$81093¢94¢+$6
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? WeatherNo$80894¢95¢+$5
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?PoliticsNo$75187¢91¢+$38
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$84573¢67¢-$76
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$69988¢94¢+$49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$76294¢93¢-$14
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.2K49¢28¢-$493
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$66992¢92¢-$2
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$60387¢94¢+$43
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?CultureNo$60890¢94¢+$28
Nick Fuentes federally charged?PoliticsNo$62095¢96¢+$9
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$60596¢97¢+$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechNo$54994¢93¢-$9
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$45585¢93¢+$45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$51385¢80¢-$32
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$48092¢92¢+$2
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$48296¢96¢-$3
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$23335¢71¢+$244
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$47489¢89¢-$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$46996¢97¢+$3
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$44140¢41¢+$10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$40887¢95¢+$33
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$40487¢94¢+$29
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$41090¢94¢+$18
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$3427.7¢9.4¢+$80
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$40793¢94¢+$4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$34811¢12¢+$54
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$39594¢96¢+$6
Ebola pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$39297¢96¢-$2
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$36184¢91¢+$27
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?WeatherNo$38696¢96¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$38294¢95¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$37827¢27¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$38294¢94¢-$4
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$42994¢83¢-$53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$33619¢20¢+$32
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$35397¢97¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$34693¢94¢+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$31888¢93¢+$18
Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$33394¢95¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$32392¢95¢+$10
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$31283¢87¢+$14
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsNo$28882¢89¢+$27
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$30291¢92¢+$4
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$28896¢98¢+$6
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$27697¢98¢+$3
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$25483¢89¢+$19
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechNo$25788¢81¢-$19
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23994¢94¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027?PoliticsNo$22893¢90¢-$6
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$21395¢95¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$28217¢13¢-$79
100kt meteor strike in 2026?TechNo$20494¢92¢-$4
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$20198¢98¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$19293¢95¢+$4
Diddy released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$21888¢78¢-$24

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$35K
Crypto+$11K
NFL-$4.0K
Boxing+$1.8K
Weather-$1.6K
Culture-$985
NBA-$809
Other+$333
Other sports-$225
Tech+$204
Economy+$116
Finance-$48
Biggest hit
+$14K
Will Biden finish his term?
Toughest beat
-$5.0K
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?$4659m ago
  • Bought No · Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? $1571h ago
  • Sold No · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?$53h ago
  • Sold No · Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$2076h ago
  • Sold No · Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$196h ago
  • Bought No · Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?$2656h ago
  • Bought No · Tim Walz in jail by December 31?$113h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?$12018h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?$319h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?$820h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2621h ago
  • Bought No · Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? $21d ago