 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $440 | 8.0¢ | 11¢ | +$138 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $910 | 14¢ | 4.0¢ | -$647 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $207 | 77¢ | 71¢ | -$17 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $114 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$19 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $110 | 54¢ | 63¢ | +$18 |
 Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $111 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 70¢ | 84¢ | +$16 |
 Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | Yes | $43 | 19¢ | 36¢ | +$39 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $86 | 71¢ | 66¢ | -$7 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $20 | 18¢ | 67¢ | +$54 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $43 | 47¢ | 69¢ | +$20 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $90 | 43¢ | 30¢ | -$28 |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | Yes | $73 | 31¢ | 23¢ | -$19 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 16¢ | 24¢ | +$15 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $20 | 17¢ | 34¢ | +$20 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $18 | 16¢ | 32¢ | +$17 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $30 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 86¢ | +$26 |
 Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | Yes | $31 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 86¢ | 56¢ | -$15 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $47 | 39¢ | 21¢ | -$22 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $32 | 53¢ | 26¢ | -$17 |
 Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Politics | Yes | $54 | 13¢ | 3.3¢ | -$41 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 2.7¢ | 0.6¢ | -$42 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 63¢ | 44¢ | -$5 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 32¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Politics | Yes | $217 | 57¢ | 2.4¢ | -$208 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $14 | 8.4¢ | 4.6¢ | -$6 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $9 | 10.0¢ | 7.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10.0¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
| Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | Yes | $77 | 42¢ | 3.1¢ | -$71 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other | Yes | $4 | 31¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 36¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 42¢ | +$3 |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | Yes | $26 | 14¢ | 1.1¢ | -$24 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other | Yes | $1 | 11¢ | 10.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 5.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$17 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 13?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 7?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80+ in February?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will "Bugonia" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will David Schweikert win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 2?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Sushila Karki be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will HawkEye 360's market cap be less than $2.5B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Access All Areas - FLO" win Best Progressive R&B Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 12?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 10?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $130-$132 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?Finance | YesResolved | $11 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Meta (META) close at $620-$630 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 5?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Amanda Edwards be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on April 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Cloud 9" by Megan Moroney be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 7?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 25?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will North of North win Best New Scripted Series at the 41st Film Independent Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on February 2?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 9?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 2?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?Premier League | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on March 22?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on March 13?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mario Enrique Severich win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on March 9?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be between 2,200,000 and 2,300,000?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Bundesliga | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$5025d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$2825d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14729d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$3161mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$2181mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?$2981mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$81mo ago