← Whale Watch

warptrading

Predicting since Feb 20266,648 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $8.2K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $854 across 2 Crypto markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechYes$42871¢91¢+$118
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$45548¢57¢+$90
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsNo$14830¢79¢+$247
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyNo$15039¢84¢+$171
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$15025¢46¢+$125
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$15044¢81¢+$124
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$39964¢43¢-$131
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$12827¢53¢+$123
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$15856¢88¢+$90
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?PoliticsNo$15013¢21¢+$93
Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?PoliticsNo$15057¢92¢+$92
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$15062¢99¢+$89
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?CultureNo$15015¢22¢+$70
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$4915¢65¢+$164
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$15048¢68¢+$63
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$15063¢87¢+$56
Spain snap election called in 2026?PoliticsNo$15661¢81¢+$49
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?CultureNo$15011¢14¢+$48
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$15060¢78¢+$45
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$15855¢68¢+$37
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?CultureNo$15043¢56¢+$44
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechNo$15056¢72¢+$43
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$15075¢96¢+$41
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?NFLNo$15079¢97¢+$35
Blue wave in 2026?PoliticsYes$16868¢75¢+$16
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$15076¢93¢+$33
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$9043¢85¢+$89
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5023¢83¢+$129
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$15047¢56¢+$29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$15082¢97¢+$28
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechNo$5019¢67¢+$127
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$15082¢97¢+$27
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$15079¢92¢+$24
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$15074¢86¢+$23
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$15085¢94¢+$17
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?PoliticsNo$7843¢91¢+$88
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11467¢93¢+$44
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$15072¢76¢+$7
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$15040¢41¢+$4
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$15081¢83¢+$4
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$13851¢56¢+$15
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12881¢93¢+$19
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11270¢92¢+$34
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$15360¢57¢-$8
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$15031¢30¢-$5
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$6216¢35¢+$75
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8148¢78¢+$51
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$15024¢21¢-$22
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?PoliticsNo$15040¢32¢-$29
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$19146¢29¢-$71
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsNo$16923¢14¢-$62
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?CryptoNo$5836¢65¢+$47
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?PoliticsYes$8270¢90¢+$23
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?CryptoYes$15080¢56¢-$46
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$8787¢97¢+$10
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$5043¢83¢+$46
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$5049¢93¢+$45
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?PoliticsNo$7761¢74¢+$16
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$6260¢91¢+$31
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechNo$7272¢90¢+$18
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?PoliticsNo$7272¢89¢+$17
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?CultureNo$5965¢96¢+$28
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoYes$5027¢47¢+$36
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?TechYes$17734¢17¢-$92
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$5055¢94¢+$35
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$15069¢39¢-$65
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$5047¢79¢+$34
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$6161¢83¢+$22
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$7575¢81¢+$6
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$7087¢100¢+$10
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?CryptoYes$15079¢42¢-$71
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$5041¢64¢+$27
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$5026¢40¢+$27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4255¢100¢+$34
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$5367¢96¢+$23
Ledger IPO before 2027?TechNo$2226¢90¢+$54
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$5029¢44¢+$25
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$5029¢43¢+$24
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsNo$4445¢75¢+$29
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$7272¢74¢+$2
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?PoliticsNo$5062¢91¢+$23
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$5057¢81¢+$21
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$5064¢90¢+$20
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$5061¢86¢+$20
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsNo$5068¢94¢+$19
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5062¢85¢+$19
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherNo$5072¢98¢+$18
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$11258¢35¢-$45
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsNo$5071¢95¢+$17
Will Chris Swanson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$5075¢100¢+$16
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$16249¢20¢-$96
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$5065¢84¢+$15
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5070¢91¢+$15
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherNo$5046¢59¢+$14
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$5062¢80¢+$14
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?PoliticsNo$5077¢98¢+$13
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$5071¢90¢+$13
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsNo$4768¢92¢+$17
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$5079¢100¢+$13
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$5067¢85¢+$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$8.2K
Culture-$3.6K
Tech-$1.9K
Finance-$1.9K
Crypto-$1.7K
Mentions-$1.4K
Economy-$522
Boxing-$414
Weather-$379
UFC / MMA-$150
World Cup-$77
eSports-$58
Biggest hit
+$166
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Toughest beat
-$143
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1002d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$102d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$452d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$626d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2866d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$29d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$749d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$26310d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?$3110d ago