← Whale Watch

varch01

Predicting since Mar 202511,332 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.2K on Champions League markets since Mar 2025.

Right now: $9.9K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5.4K54¢57¢+$350
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4.0K92¢96¢+$190
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.5K45¢41¢-$450
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.4K85¢95¢+$379
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoCryptoNothing$2.9K95¢95¢+$12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K91¢92¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K93¢98¢+$88
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K94¢96¢+$35
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?TechNo$1.9K95¢95¢-$7
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K91¢95¢+$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoNo$1.8K91¢90¢-$30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.5K49¢43¢-$192
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K93¢95¢+$30
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1.1K90¢98¢+$85
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K94¢93¢-$9
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$93685¢93¢+$81
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$96997¢100¢+$30
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$99099¢100¢+$9
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$92092¢100¢+$79
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$94094¢100¢+$55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?FinanceNo$95095¢98¢+$35
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$94094¢98¢+$41
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$86586¢97¢+$109
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$96396¢96¢-$1
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsYes$94586¢87¢+$12
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?PoliticsNo$92392¢96¢+$32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$96096¢95¢-$7
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$93994¢94¢+$5
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?PoliticsNo$90087¢90¢+$30
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$47347¢93¢+$455
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? PoliticsNo$80080¢92¢+$118
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$92092¢91¢-$15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechNo$88488¢90¢+$20
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?TechYes$80580¢90¢+$95
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?TechNo$90090¢90¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$82082¢89¢+$65
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$75438¢44¢+$116
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$37838¢87¢+$487
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$86386¢85¢-$12
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$83470¢71¢+$12
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$72681¢94¢+$115
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?TechYes$81192¢95¢+$29
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$73674¢83¢+$90
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?PoliticsYes$80597¢99¢+$16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$92146¢41¢-$111
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.1K27¢20¢-$269
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$41414¢27¢+$395
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$77794¢92¢-$20
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$4509.0¢15¢+$300
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsNo$64881¢80¢-$12
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$56080¢90¢+$70
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1618.0¢31¢+$466
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$52052¢63¢+$105
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$53072¢80¢+$61
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$55292¢95¢+$18
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$41041¢55¢+$135
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$50983¢86¢+$19
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$39320¢26¢+$117
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$72418¢13¢-$222
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3518.8¢12¢+$147
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$45090¢99¢+$46
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$46192¢99¢+$34
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?TechNo$46593¢97¢+$21
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$40080¢97¢+$86
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$46092¢97¢+$26
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$50052¢51¢-$14
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$45090¢97¢+$35
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?PoliticsNo$46994¢97¢+$15
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsNo$47094¢97¢+$13
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$50052¢50¢-$18
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$47795¢96¢+$4
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$48095¢95¢-$1
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$45090¢94¢+$22
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$47595¢94¢-$4
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$41082¢94¢+$59
Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$46092¢94¢+$8
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherYes$45090¢93¢+$15
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$46593¢93¢+$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$39579¢93¢+$68
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Basketball (other)No$44789¢90¢+$5
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$45391¢90¢-$1
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$46092¢88¢-$21
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$43086¢87¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$43487¢86¢-$4
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsNo$43086¢84¢-$10
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$42084¢84¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$45776¢69¢-$40
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$19019¢42¢+$225
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$46092¢81¢-$55
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$37193¢100¢+$29
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$38195¢99¢+$16
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$34687¢98¢+$44
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsYes$39078¢78¢-$3
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$35188¢96¢+$33
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$38193¢94¢+$1
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$37891¢92¢+$3
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$37092¢95¢+$9
Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other)No$37188¢90¢+$6
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$31278¢94¢+$65
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$4008.0¢7.5¢-$25

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Champions League-$2.2K
Politics+$1.9K
Economy-$1.0K
Tennis-$1.0K
NHL-$857
Premier League+$753
Other sports+$734
Soccer (other)-$719
Formula 1-$698
Crypto-$661
Tech-$638
Basketball (other)-$389
Biggest hit
+$683
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Toughest beat
-$965
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$051m ago
  • Bought No · Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?$26352m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$401h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$172h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?$1507h ago
  • Cashed out No · Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Score$277h ago
  • Bought Yes · Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Draw at halftime?$229h ago
  • Bought Yes · Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: Draw at halftime?$229h ago
  • Bought No · Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Score$99h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?$09h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?$569h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?$789h ago