 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | No | $482 | 38¢ | 74¢ | +$445 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $428 | 61¢ | 42¢ | -$134 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 6.4¢ | 38¢ | +$221 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $257 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$35 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $156 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$54 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | No | $232 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$32 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $159 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$21 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $111 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$13 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $178 | 27¢ | 15¢ | -$80 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $119 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$26 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $156 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$69 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $48 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$36 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Politics | Yes | $79 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | Yes | $56 | 7.0¢ | 9.0¢ | +$16 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $204 | 48¢ | 15¢ | -$141 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $99 | 9.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$44 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $64 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $95 | 18¢ | 9.5¢ | -$44 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $105 | 35¢ | 17¢ | -$54 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$9 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | Yes | $42 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$3 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $19 | 33¢ | 78¢ | +$26 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $42 | 7.0¢ | 7.1¢ | +$1 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 12¢ | 8.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $40 | 8.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$8 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $197 | 25¢ | 3.7¢ | -$167 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $14 | 28¢ | 54¢ | +$13 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $40 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 12¢ | 5.5¢ | -$26 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $99 | 28¢ | 6.4¢ | -$76 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | Yes | $43 | 5.1¢ | 2.6¢ | -$21 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics | No | $21 | 9.0¢ | 9.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 10¢ | 6.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Politics | No | $22 | 6.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 9.6¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 25¢ | 8.8¢ | -$32 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | Yes | $84 | 7.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$69 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $49 | 3.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$35 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Politics | No | $24 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$11 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 8.0¢ | 5.4¢ | -$6 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Politics | Yes | $33 | 38¢ | 14¢ | -$21 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 8.0¢ | 3.6¢ | -$13 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 9.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 4.9¢ | 1.8¢ | -$12 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.4¢ | 5.3¢ | +$3 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 5.7¢ | 8.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $6 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 4.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$10 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 2.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $72 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Sold Yes · Exact Score: SSC Napoli 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?$1021h ago