 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $661 | 35¢ | 93¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $532 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$153 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $325 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$67 |
 Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $290 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | YesResolved | $236 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$84 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $19 | 8.7¢ | 100¢ | +$201 |
 Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $103 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $397 | 21¢ | 5.8¢ | -$287 |
 Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $87 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $63 | 63¢ | 93¢ | +$30 |
 Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $59 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$8 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $50 | 37¢ | 44¢ | +$9 |
 Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $43 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $23 | 20¢ | 32¢ | +$13 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $38 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$8 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 73¢ | +$16 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 87¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $16 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$5 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $358 | 19¢ | 1.1¢ | -$338 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $25 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $152 | 8.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$140 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $8 | 32¢ | 49¢ | +$4 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $8 | 30¢ | 39¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $6 | 59¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $13 | 33¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 6.8¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.4¢ | 4.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $82 | 4.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$77 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $8 | 5.6¢ | 3.4¢ | -$3 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 47¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.7¢ | 7.5¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 2.7¢ | -$5 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 9.8¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $6 | 6.2¢ | 2.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 5.6¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.3¢ | 8.2¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.4¢ | 6.7¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.7¢ | 3.6¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.9¢ | 3.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 2.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-21?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $63 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-11?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Politics | YesResolved | $73 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-11?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-03-14?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 13 be between 70 and 75?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will CS Cienciano vs. FC Cajamarca end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-19?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $4 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $24 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $4 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$102mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$202mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$902mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?$603mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3003mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$333mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$9923mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.7K3mo ago