Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$745 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 81¢ | +$613 |
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$425 |
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$144 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 68¢ | +$89 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$60 |
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 56¢ | +$45 |
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.6¢ | +$35 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 21¢ | +$27 |
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 28¢ | +$24 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 79¢ | +$24 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 26¢ | +$23 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 25¢ | +$22 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +$21 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.7¢ | +$13 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 13¢ | +$12 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.1¢ | +$6 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.2¢ | +$5 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 6.2¢ | +$5 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$5 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 5.2¢ | +$5 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.5¢ | +$4 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$4 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.5¢ | +$4 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.6¢ | +$4 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$4 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$3 |
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.9¢ | +$2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.6¢ | +$1 |
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.0¢ | +$1 |
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Tottenham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will SpaceX have exactly 6 launches in February?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-15?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Andrew Tate post 340-369 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?Bundesliga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Brest win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will PSV vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Le Havre win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Brentford finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |