 Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $112 | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$633 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $376 | 50¢ | 95¢ | +$337 |
 Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $48 | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$377 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $32 | 22¢ | 100¢ | +$112 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $58 | 45¢ | 48¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $43 | 33¢ | 41¢ | +$11 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $41 | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$9 |
 Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $34 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.9¢ | 36¢ | +$30 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.7¢ | 35¢ | +$28 |
 Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 77¢ | +$19 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $34 | 4.5¢ | 2.1¢ | -$19 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.6¢ | 17¢ | +$15 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 4.1¢ | 7.8¢ | +$5 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $52 | 6.9¢ | 1.2¢ | -$43 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 4.1¢ | 8.0¢ | +$3 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.8¢ | 6.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 5.9¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $12 | 9.1¢ | 4.2¢ | -$7 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 6.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 5.9¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $111 | 15¢ | 0.6¢ | -$107 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $38 | 5.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$34 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.3¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 6.4¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 6.1¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 20¢ | 3.9¢ | -$14 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $48 | 6.3¢ | 0.4¢ | -$45 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $55 | 7.3¢ | 0.4¢ | -$52 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.8¢ | 5.8¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.5¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Tottenham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $58 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
 Will NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $49 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Economy | YesResolved | $38 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?Weather | YesResolved | $25 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $30 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 6 launches in February?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-15?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 340-369 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $34 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Weather | YesResolved | $41 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?Bundesliga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?La Liga | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Brest win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $19 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will PSV vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $7 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Le Havre win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $52 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?La Liga | YesResolved | $114 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $48 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $76 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?NBA | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 7?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $5 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Brentford finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie A | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Swiss National Bank increases policy rate after March Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will England win?Other sports | YesResolved | $28 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$53mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1204mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the April decision?$1105mo ago