← Belugo Whale Watch

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
$303K volumeYes 0.5¢No 99¢
Sharp lean: 8% Yes92% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
0.5¢- 10xcC3ef03D700F65F613848506Ff2bDB6F1B527304-1763827508452$14
- 2nryy$13
- 3thecaricature$10
- 40x0d2E0eA91cfF6766db088F2B1b936c723BF25f81-1769886591670$9
- 50xff7c…b233$9
- 6kungfumofu$7
- 7MilkIsGood124$6
- 8
ignc$5 - 90x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403$5
- 10
theo5Sharp$5 - 11wtfsss$4
- 12Ben.Graham$4
- 130xd309A013459bF9169CC5ba54b5f10f31aC932d4d-1769688802327$4
- 14
balthazarSharp$4 - 15Olka$4
- 16Hugo459440$4
- 17goaks18$4
- 18audible$4
- 19rocky42002$3
- 20387411007415611814092217897387$3
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
99¢- 10xa5ef…2966$35K
- 2PB2.KALININGRAD$758
- 30x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479$107
- 4cigarettesSharp$95
- 5lissartter$90
- 6
YieldDelta$89 - 7dex53$73
- 8Elias.Thornwell$54
- 9rhetu$33
- 10hrhtjr$26
- 11GingerMcKenna$25
- 12LesterDiamond$24
- 13elizaeliza001$24
- 14
Brap-Brap$21 - 15dex52$20
- 16Washington-SiegeofBoston$18
- 170x3906…4b42$17
- 18brightfutureahead$15
- 19
FredericChopin$13 - 20nicolasi$12
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $3,508 on No @ 99¢cowjxr5qd1ee8mo ago
- $3,505 on No @ 99¢kjaso6vs01b18mo ago
- $3,530 on No @ 99¢orewwp2dsnxc8mo ago
- $3,520 on No @ 99¢exqhl7xiegox8mo ago
- $2,281 out of No @ 99¢sf2z65xf1cz58mo ago
- $2,001 out of No @ 99¢dgasd23gs6d2g68mo ago
- $2,276 on No @ 99¢sf2z65xf1cz58mo ago
- $1,997 on No @ 99¢dgasd23gs6d2g68mo ago
- $1,812 on No @ 99¢4ag615agg1as568mo ago
- $1,980 on No @ 99¢ggd615g5018mo ago
- $2,108 on No @ 99¢sfz45xf1zsdg251gds8mo ago
- $2,006 on No @ 99¢dgas4a5dg561as1156gsaga8mo ago
- $3,517 out of No @ 99¢rlwsr3vrn28k8mo ago
- $3,507 out of No @ 99¢aunhx75e0hz18mo ago