 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.5K | 63¢ | 81¢ | +$449 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $350 | 29¢ | 85¢ | +$661 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $195 | 27¢ | 44¢ | +$127 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $175 | 24¢ | 43¢ | +$141 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $179 | 7.4¢ | 8.0¢ | +$14 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $232 | 9.6¢ | 4.6¢ | -$121 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $300 | 25¢ | 8.5¢ | -$199 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $114 | 4.7¢ | 2.9¢ | -$46 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 8.6¢ | 9.4¢ | +$6 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $46 | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $13 | 27¢ | 98¢ | +$35 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $38 | 29¢ | 34¢ | +$6 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $31 | 42¢ | 55¢ | +$10 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $121 | 5.0¢ | 1.7¢ | -$80 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $47 | 35¢ | 30¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 79¢ | +$26 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 42¢ | +$20 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $227 | 19¢ | 2.8¢ | -$194 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $26 | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$5 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 63¢ | +$15 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 39¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 4.8¢ | 2.3¢ | -$18 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $21 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $125 | 5.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$112 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 18¢ | 10¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $110 | 4.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$98 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $17 | 13¢ | 9.1¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $14 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $124 | 10¢ | 0.9¢ | -$113 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $9 | 6.6¢ | 8.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 5.6¢ | 16¢ | +$7 |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 2.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$7 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 24¢ | 47¢ | +$4 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.2¢ | 7.0¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 8.3¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $12 | 14¢ | 8.9¢ | -$5 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Politics | Yes | $4 | 27¢ | 50¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 8.0¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.8¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 14¢ | 5.7¢ | -$10 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $7 | 88¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 1.3¢ | 0.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $18 | 62¢ | 21¢ | -$12 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $12 | 43¢ | 21¢ | -$6 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $70 | 5.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$64 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 1.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$15 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 27¢ | 4.3¢ | -$27 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
| Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.9¢ | 5.1¢ | +$2 |
| Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 9.3¢ | 3.6¢ | -$7 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 42¢ | +$3 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $35 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$31 |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.6¢ | 26¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.4¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.5¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $12 | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | -$9 |
| Will MUNDO-GB
win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 23¢ | 2.5¢ | -$25 |
| Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 3.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.9¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $12 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$10 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 4.1¢ | 9.7¢ | +$1 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $9 | 11¢ | 2.1¢ | -$7 |
| Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | -$2 |
| Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | -$4 |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?Culture | Yes | $0 | 5.6¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?Culture | Yes | $0 | 4.1¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 4.3¢ | 8.1¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 8.2¢ | 4.2¢ | -$1 |
| Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 2.4¢ | -$5 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $96 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 7?Crypto | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 11?Crypto | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in March 2026?Politics | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $132-$134 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?Finance | YesResolved | -$0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons have the worst record in the NBA?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Khamenei post 200+ posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?$8622d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$2225d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump and Putin not meet?$13625d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$85525d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?$23925d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$18225d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?$3125d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$561mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$291mo ago