 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $22K | 78¢ | 98¢ | +$5.7K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $11K | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$1.0K |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $7.0K | 61¢ | 87¢ | +$3.0K |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8.7K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$238 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7.1K | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$905 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $5.5K | 68¢ | 92¢ | +$1.9K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $6.8K | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$92 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?Crypto | No | $5.7K | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$615 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4.9K | 66¢ | 84¢ | +$1.4K |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $4.5K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$97 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 15?Crypto | Yes | $418 | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$3.5K |
 Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.8K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.9K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$122 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 65¢ | 92¢ | +$738 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$1.1K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$630 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$185 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $2.3K | 91¢ | 82¢ | -$232 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.9K | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$28 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.1K | 54¢ | 93¢ | +$765 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $48 | 3.0¢ | 98¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Tech | No | $1.2K | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$316 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 2.9¢ | 74¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $661 | 41¢ | 93¢ | +$824 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 64¢ | 82¢ | +$325 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$147 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $1.3K | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$109 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $44 | 2.8¢ | 88¢ | +$1.4K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $1.2K | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$175 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$85 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $681 | 48¢ | 96¢ | +$683 |
 Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1.3K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$63 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.3K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $827 | 55¢ | 88¢ | +$485 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $630 | 29¢ | 60¢ | +$679 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.5K | 67¢ | 57¢ | -$205 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics | Yes | $40 | 2.5¢ | 77¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $48 | 3.1¢ | 76¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$912 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $847 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$285 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$15 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | Yes | $431 | 27¢ | 69¢ | +$665 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $66 | 3.1¢ | 52¢ | +$1.0K |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Tech | No | $885 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$119 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.2K | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$215 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $975 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$16 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $110 | 10¢ | 90¢ | +$876 |
 Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?Crypto | No | $960 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $66 | 3.1¢ | 47¢ | +$911 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $513 | 43¢ | 80¢ | +$451 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Politics | No | $870 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$85 |
 Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $62 | 3.8¢ | 60¢ | +$890 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Politics | Yes | $916 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$19 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $50 | 3.1¢ | 57¢ | +$862 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $307 | 28¢ | 83¢ | +$600 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $954 | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$55 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $866 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $487 | 43¢ | 76¢ | +$379 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $837 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$19 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in September?Finance | No | $783 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$66 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $125 | 13¢ | 85¢ | +$720 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $769 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$57 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $395 | 10¢ | 22¢ | +$423 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Tech | Yes | $68 | 5.3¢ | 60¢ | +$712 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $617 | 62¢ | 78¢ | +$163 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $145 | 9.1¢ | 48¢ | +$615 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 16?Crypto | Yes | $191 | 9.1¢ | 36¢ | +$565 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $387 | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$347 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $447 | 52¢ | 85¢ | +$280 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $94 | 2.9¢ | 23¢ | +$631 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 2.8¢ | 100¢ | +$694 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 15, 2026?Tech | Yes | $83 | 4.3¢ | 38¢ | +$631 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $558 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$155 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?Tech | Yes | $83 | 4.3¢ | 38¢ | +$630 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 16, 2026?Tech | Yes | $83 | 4.3¢ | 38¢ | +$630 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $200 | 8.0¢ | 28¢ | +$512 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 3.2¢ | 44¢ | +$653 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $969 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$267 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $178 | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$523 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$600 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 2.8¢ | 100¢ | +$680 |
 Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Culture | Yes | $50 | 7.1¢ | 100¢ | +$648 |
 Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $70 | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$628 |
 Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 2.8¢ | 99¢ | +$677 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $175 | 25¢ | 99¢ | +$520 |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $175 | 25¢ | 99¢ | +$520 |
 Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $70 | 10¢ | 99¢ | +$625 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 2.8¢ | 99¢ | +$675 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $83 | 4.3¢ | 37¢ | +$611 |
 Will "Those Who Wish Me Dead" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $70 | 10¢ | 99¢ | +$623 |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $175 | 25¢ | 99¢ | +$517 |
 Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | Yes | $50 | 7.1¢ | 99¢ | +$641 |
 Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $70 | 10¢ | 99¢ | +$620 |
 Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Politics | Yes | $21 | 3.0¢ | 99¢ | +$668 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $175 | 25¢ | 98¢ | +$513 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $688 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?Politics | Yes | $117 | 17¢ | 98¢ | +$568 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 4.0¢ | 98¢ | +$655 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $384 | 24¢ | 43¢ | +$295 |
 Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?Politics | Yes | $23 | 3.3¢ | 96¢ | +$651 |
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15?$247s ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?$23m ago