 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $42K | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$681 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $24K | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$682 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $11K | 74¢ | 68¢ | -$968 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8.5K | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $7.0K | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$77 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6.3K | 52¢ | 41¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4.7K | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$202 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $4.0K | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$544 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$164 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 69¢ | 97¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$994 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$653 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.1K | 36¢ | 93¢ | +$1.7K |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.5K | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$81 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$58 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $1.9K | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$84 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $2.7K | 53¢ | 36¢ | -$868 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1.6K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$219 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.3K | 29¢ | 35¢ | +$225 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $622 | 42¢ | 97¢ | +$818 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 47¢ | 47¢ | -$20 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $891 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$156 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$104 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $979 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$14 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$82 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $590 | 59¢ | 92¢ | +$328 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $971 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$64 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $718 | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$155 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $580 | 33¢ | 47¢ | +$227 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $816 | 54¢ | 53¢ | -$21 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $996 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$204 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $491 | 60¢ | 93¢ | +$263 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $750 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$6 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $684 | 49¢ | 51¢ | +$21 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $999 | 31¢ | 22¢ | -$303 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $616 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$44 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $959 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$305 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $571 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$32 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $504 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$77 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $569 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$10 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $315 | 55¢ | 97¢ | +$238 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $798 | 58¢ | 38¢ | -$283 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $410 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$77 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $325 | 65¢ | 96¢ | +$153 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $333 | 31¢ | 42¢ | +$116 |
 Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Tech | No | $602 | 84¢ | 61¢ | -$160 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $352 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$81 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $354 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$62 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $618 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$207 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $288 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$120 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $576 | 52¢ | 37¢ | -$169 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $261 | 63¢ | 97¢ | +$140 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $389 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$9 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $290 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$95 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $457 | 58¢ | 48¢ | -$79 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $356 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$14 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $211 | 47¢ | 80¢ | +$147 |
 Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $349 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$7 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $395 | 52¢ | 47¢ | -$39 |
 Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $355 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$13 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $993 | 22¢ | 7.3¢ | -$662 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $325 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $288 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$19 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $200 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$99 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $331 | 82¢ | 74¢ | -$33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $287 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $248 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$38 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $277 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $258 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Politics | Over | $292 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$25 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $266 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $254 | 65¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $179 | 64¢ | 85¢ | +$59 |
 Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $221 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $194 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$27 |
 Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $175 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$44 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $196 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$23 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Politics | Yes | $134 | 52¢ | 85¢ | +$85 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $350 | 34¢ | 22¢ | -$131 |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $220 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$6 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $135 | 58¢ | 91¢ | +$76 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $242 | 88¢ | 76¢ | -$33 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Weather | No | $173 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$30 |
 Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $207 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $633 | 21¢ | 6.5¢ | -$441 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $192 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | No | $206 | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$25 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Politics | Yes | $172 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $183 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $175 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | No | $181 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$10 |
 Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $151 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $169 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $146 | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$6 |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Culture | Yes | $167 | 93¢ | 83¢ | -$18 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $123 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$25 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $148 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $110 | 15¢ | 19¢ | +$32 |
Bought No · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$441h ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$91h ago
Cashed out No · Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?$01h ago