← Whale Watch

lissartter

Predicting since Jan 202415,916 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $21K on Politics markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $27K across 4 NBA markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Will PC win the most in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$7.9K53¢100¢+$6.9K
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$11K85¢100¢+$1.8K
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$8.6K72¢100¢+$3.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$6.7K81¢83¢+$132
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$4.7K83¢86¢+$130
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.5K56¢82¢+$1.2K
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3.3K73¢74¢+$89
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1.4K36¢85¢+$2.0K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.4K66¢63¢-$161
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3.3K58¢57¢-$101
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3.7K22¢17¢-$801
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.2K73¢93¢+$603
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.5K92¢95¢+$80
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K91¢92¢+$12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K60¢92¢+$570
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.6K56¢59¢+$67
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1.6K99¢99¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$1.5K96¢99¢+$43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$63042¢98¢+$847
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.4K21¢20¢-$35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$1.3K97¢97¢-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$96947¢63¢+$332
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K61¢66¢+$84
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.5K19¢8.5¢-$1.4K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K84¢85¢+$6
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$99588¢94¢+$68
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$94572¢81¢+$115
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K97¢98¢+$17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$66555¢81¢+$315
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.0K45¢43¢-$50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$71880¢96¢+$144
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$97187¢76¢-$131
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$1.3K97¢57¢-$521
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$58093¢97¢+$28
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$56494¢98¢+$24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$59094¢92¢-$14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$524.0¢43¢+$511
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$52480¢80¢+$1
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$74156¢40¢-$219
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$57732¢27¢-$93
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$31563¢96¢+$166
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41082¢96¢+$67
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$45090¢95¢+$23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$32565¢95¢+$148
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$33070¢100¢+$138
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$35276¢94¢+$81
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$35478¢94¢+$72
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$54061¢47¢-$126
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$29072¢95¢+$95
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$34577¢82¢+$27
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$35690¢94¢+$14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$63321¢13¢-$265
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$49143¢33¢-$122
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$30976¢89¢+$49
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$35297¢97¢+$3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$32213¢14¢+$19
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$36959¢54¢-$32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsNo$41246¢37¢-$77
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$35553¢48¢-$36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$31055¢56¢+$7
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$30190¢93¢+$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$33744¢40¢-$34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$29993¢94¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$28796¢95¢-$3
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$25784¢93¢+$26
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$27692¢94¢+$6
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27877¢77¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28258¢55¢-$18
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$17262¢88¢+$74
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$19264¢78¢+$43
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$16940¢55¢+$66
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$18063¢83¢+$55
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$19581¢95¢+$32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$21147¢51¢+$15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$23088¢84¢-$12
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$22352¢51¢-$6
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13558¢91¢+$77
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$27742¢32¢-$68
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$22663¢57¢-$21
Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?Other sportsNo$19983¢84¢+$1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$19948¢48¢+$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$19751¢52¢+$2
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$20049¢48¢-$4
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$18693¢97¢+$7
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$27039¢28¢-$80
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$18994¢94¢-$1
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$19454¢52¢-$7
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$745.0¢12¢+$109
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$19648¢45¢-$16
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$18373¢69¢-$9
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$7811¢24¢+$91
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$15190¢100¢+$16
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$16762¢62¢-$1
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?CultureNo$18179¢69¢-$24
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?CryptoNo$7241¢89¢+$83
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$12842¢49¢+$21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$14040¢42¢+$5
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$13763¢67¢+$8
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$14852¢50¢-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$14213¢13¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$21K
NBA+$12K
Mentions-$4.6K
Culture-$3.5K
Economy-$3.2K
Tech-$1.8K
Finance-$1.4K
MLB-$1.3K
Bundesliga-$1.1K
NFL-$956
Boxing-$877
Basketball (other)-$806
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Will PC win the most in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?
Toughest beat
-$6.1K
Fed rate cut by May 1?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2293m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$566m ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5711m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3712m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$6116m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$4222m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$29723m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$4026m ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$4726m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$10428m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5330m ago
  • Sold No · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$1331m ago