← Whale Watch

dex52

Predicting since May 20264,052 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $65K on Tennis markets since May 2026.

Right now: $31K riding on Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi.

Biggest hit: +$4.3K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$14K98¢99¢+$211
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$8.7K88¢81¢-$691
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$7.8K99¢99¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$6.3K93¢80¢-$877
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.9K100¢100¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K99¢99¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.9K85¢76¢-$208
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1.6K80¢77¢-$59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.1K82¢56¢-$669
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoNo$1.4K88¢89¢+$15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K82¢87¢+$70
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K96¢95¢-$20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$1.2K100¢100¢+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoNo$67799¢99¢+$3
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$68695¢94¢-$8
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$56985¢95¢+$63
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$59594¢92¢-$11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$55599¢99¢+$3
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$50281¢87¢+$35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$76385¢57¢-$250
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$513100¢100¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$45984¢94¢+$51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$45988¢97¢+$44
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$488100¢100¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$47399¢99¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$43892¢98¢+$32
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$46799¢99¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$44297¢99¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$65180¢54¢-$212
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$42492¢93¢+$5
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$41398¢99¢+$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 26?CryptoYes$412100¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$38380¢81¢+$3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$357100¢100¢+$1
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$31687¢95¢+$29
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?CryptoNo$342100¢100¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$301100¢100¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceNo$298100¢100¢+$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$28792¢93¢+$4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?CryptoNo$27585¢90¢+$15
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?CryptoNo$25782¢93¢+$31
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$28199¢99¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoNo$27077¢74¢-$11
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$23980¢78¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$18772¢85¢+$34
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$20984¢84¢-$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? CultureNo$190100¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$17979¢81¢+$3
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17599¢100¢+$0
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$166100¢100¢-$0
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15299¢99¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$15590¢89¢-$2
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?CryptoNo$14898¢98¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?FinanceNo$14992¢91¢-$2
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13099¢99¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12599¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?CryptoNo$12399¢100¢+$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10075¢87¢+$15
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?CryptoNo$10697¢98¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?CryptoNo$90100¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?CryptoNo$87100¢100¢+$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?CryptoNo$8699¢100¢+$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$9081¢75¢-$6
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?FinanceNo$7078¢91¢+$12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?FinanceNo$7995¢98¢+$2
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$7891¢92¢+$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$72100¢100¢+$0
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$7182¢84¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$7099¢99¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$6593¢94¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$6399¢99¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$5999¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?CryptoNo$58100¢100¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$5896¢96¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?CryptoNo$55100¢100¢+$0
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$55100¢100¢-$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$5499¢99¢+$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?FinanceNo$5184¢84¢-$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoNo$5476¢69¢-$4
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4999¢99¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$4898¢99¢+$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$5084¢77¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$4893¢87¢-$3
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$4598¢99¢+$0
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?PoliticsNo$4498¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoNo$4496¢97¢+$0
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$4095¢96¢+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$3695¢95¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$3696¢97¢+$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?CryptoNo$31100¢100¢-$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2899¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?CryptoNo$2899¢100¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?PoliticsNo$2899¢98¢-$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2698¢99¢+$0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$26100¢100¢+$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$2699¢99¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$2599¢99¢+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$2197¢100¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceYes$1769¢87¢+$4
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$21100¢100¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tennis-$65K
World Cup-$44K
MLB-$15K
eSports+$12K
Politics-$12K
Cricket+$3.3K
Crypto+$2.6K
NBA+$2.0K
NHL-$1.9K
UFC / MMA-$1.7K
Soccer (other)-$1.5K
Other sports+$1.1K
Biggest hit
+$4.3K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.8K
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$514s ago
  • Bought No · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$541s ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$53m ago
  • Bought No · SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $56m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$711m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$46115m ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$517m ago
  • Bought No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$9918m ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$85621m ago
  • Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$99722m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$926m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$826m ago