 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $13K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$196 |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?Tech | No | $3.4K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$213 |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $2.6K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$13 |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $1.8K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $1.0K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $943 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $844 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 26?Weather | No | $543 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on July 27?Weather | No | $167 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Politics | No | $150 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C or higher on July 27?Weather | No | $98 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on July 28?Weather | No | $98 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on July 28?Weather | No | $98 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 28?Weather | No | $95 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 25?Weather | No | $79 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 92°F or higher on July 26?Weather | No | $79 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026?Economy | No | $67 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.2M in June?Economy | No | $64 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $85 | 57¢ | 44¢ | -$19 |
 Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $50 | 66¢ | 79¢ | +$10 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $50 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?Weather | No | $60 | 55¢ | 53¢ | -$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 27?Weather | No | $100 | 52¢ | 26¢ | -$51 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $36 | 60¢ | 81¢ | +$13 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?Weather | No | $59 | 54¢ | 39¢ | -$17 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on July 26?Weather | No | $36 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $25 | 56¢ | 81¢ | +$11 |
 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $28 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or below on July 26?Weather | No | $29 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?Weather | No | $99 | 42¢ | 13¢ | -$69 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $73 | 37¢ | 14¢ | -$44 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Politics | No | $25 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $29 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $75 | 73¢ | 19¢ | -$56 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 27?Weather | No | $17 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $11 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 43¢ | 21¢ | -$13 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $14 | 34¢ | 29¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or below on July 27?Weather | No | $11 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 26?Weather | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on July 28?Weather | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 27?Weather | No | $8 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?Weather | No | $7 | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $50 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$43 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $16 | 9.0¢ | 3.6¢ | -$10 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $6 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 3.2¢ | 6.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $50 | 5.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$46 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $25 | 3.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$21 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.1¢ | 2.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 9.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be 106°F or higher on July 27?Weather | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 43°C or higher on July 28?Weather | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C or below on July 28?Weather | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on July 27?Weather | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 27?Weather | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C or higher on July 28?Weather | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on July 26?Weather | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 5.6¢ | 4.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 27?Weather | No | $3 | 49¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $25 | 8.3¢ | 0.6¢ | -$23 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 2.9¢ | -$7 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $25 | 6.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$23 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $5 | 8.5¢ | 1.7¢ | -$4 |
Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C or higher on July 26?$281h ago
Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 26?$81h ago